Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for July 8 place Paris daytime maxima near 34–36 °C under a ridge of high pressure advecting warm subtropical air northward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud build-up, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping the 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C buckets tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology (mean high ~25 °C) underscores how anomalous the current pattern remains, while the absence of a strong marine layer or thunderstorm trigger limits upside risk above 37 °C. Updated model runs and Météo-France vigilance maps expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on July 8?
Highest temperature in Paris on July 8?
34°C 42%
33°C 25%
35°C 22%
36°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 8, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
25%
34°C
42%
35°C
22%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 42%
33°C 25%
35°C 22%
36°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 8, 2026
30°C or below
$28 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$36 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$195 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C
$109 ปริมาณ
25%
34°C
$356 ปริมาณ
42%
35°C
$342 ปริมาณ
22%
36°C
$21 ปริมาณ
5%
37°C
$185 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C
$183 ปริมาณ
1%
39°C
$18 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C or higher
$17 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for July 8 place Paris daytime maxima near 34–36 °C under a ridge of high pressure advecting warm subtropical air northward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud build-up, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping the 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C buckets tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology (mean high ~25 °C) underscores how anomalous the current pattern remains, while the absence of a strong marine layer or thunderstorm trigger limits upside risk above 37 °C. Updated model runs and Météo-France vigilance maps expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,490วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for July 8 place Paris daytime maxima near 34–36 °C under a ridge of high pressure advecting warm subtropical air northward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud build-up, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping the 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C buckets tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology (mean high ~25 °C) underscores how anomalous the current pattern remains, while the absence of a strong marine layer or thunderstorm trigger limits upside risk above 37 °C. Updated model runs and Météo-France vigilance maps expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,490วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for July 8 place Paris daytime maxima near 34–36 °C under a ridge of high pressure advecting warm subtropical air northward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud build-up, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping the 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C buckets tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology (mean high ~25 °C) underscores how anomalous the current pattern remains, while the absence of a strong marine layer or thunderstorm trigger limits upside risk above 37 °C. Updated model runs and Météo-France vigilance maps expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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