Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts highlight persistent cloud cover and a 90% chance of rain for Tokyo on June 25, which should reduce solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 25–27 °C under the influence of the early-summer tsuyu pattern. These conditions create genuine uncertainty around peak temperature, as thicker cloud decks or heavier showers could suppress readings by 2–4 °C while clearer breaks might allow brief warming. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with the tight clustering between 22 °C and 24 °C underscoring traders’ assessment of moisture-driven variability and the modest historical precedent for mid-20s highs during comparable late-June setups. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if guidance diverges on precipitation timing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 25?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 25?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$104,244 ปริมาณ
$104,244 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$104,244 ปริมาณ
$104,244 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
17°C or below
$2,983 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$5,777 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$5,388 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$5,590 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$41,559 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$21,530 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C
$7,039 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$7,988 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$4,803 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,236 ปริมาณ
No
27°C or higher
$351 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts highlight persistent cloud cover and a 90% chance of rain for Tokyo on June 25, which should reduce solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 25–27 °C under the influence of the early-summer tsuyu pattern. These conditions create genuine uncertainty around peak temperature, as thicker cloud decks or heavier showers could suppress readings by 2–4 °C while clearer breaks might allow brief warming. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with the tight clustering between 22 °C and 24 °C underscoring traders’ assessment of moisture-driven variability and the modest historical precedent for mid-20s highs during comparable late-June setups. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if guidance diverges on precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$104,244วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts highlight persistent cloud cover and a 90% chance of rain for Tokyo on June 25, which should reduce solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 25–27 °C under the influence of the early-summer tsuyu pattern. These conditions create genuine uncertainty around peak temperature, as thicker cloud decks or heavier showers could suppress readings by 2–4 °C while clearer breaks might allow brief warming. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with the tight clustering between 22 °C and 24 °C underscoring traders’ assessment of moisture-driven variability and the modest historical precedent for mid-20s highs during comparable late-June setups. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if guidance diverges on precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$104,244วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts highlight persistent cloud cover and a 90% chance of rain for Tokyo on June 25, which should reduce solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 25–27 °C under the influence of the early-summer tsuyu pattern. These conditions create genuine uncertainty around peak temperature, as thicker cloud decks or heavier showers could suppress readings by 2–4 °C while clearer breaks might allow brief warming. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with the tight clustering between 22 °C and 24 °C underscoring traders’ assessment of moisture-driven variability and the modest historical precedent for mid-20s highs during comparable late-June setups. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could shift probabilities if guidance diverges on precipitation timing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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