The market's near-certain 100% consensus on 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on June 4 stems from the Japan Meteorological Agency's latest official forecast and supporting numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which align on a mild early-June maximum under stable southerly flow and near-normal seasonal conditions. This positions the outcome well within the typical 21–26°C range for the period, with no significant warming signals from current atmospheric patterns. Official observations from the Otemachi station will finalize resolution. A late-day shift in advection or unmodeled local heating could theoretically alter the reading, though current data show limited scope for such deviation before the daily close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 4?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 4?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$113,124 ปริมาณ
$113,124 ปริมาณ
Jun 4, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$113,124 ปริมาณ
$113,124 ปริมาณ
Jun 4, 2026
17°C or below
$3,289 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$2,305 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$5,894 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$10,748 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$17,612 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$19,763 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$13,246 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$15,892 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$11,871 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$7,784 ปริมาณ
No
27°C or higher
$4,719 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% consensus on 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on June 4 stems from the Japan Meteorological Agency's latest official forecast and supporting numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which align on a mild early-June maximum under stable southerly flow and near-normal seasonal conditions. This positions the outcome well within the typical 21–26°C range for the period, with no significant warming signals from current atmospheric patterns. Official observations from the Otemachi station will finalize resolution. A late-day shift in advection or unmodeled local heating could theoretically alter the reading, though current data show limited scope for such deviation before the daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 2, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113,124วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 2, 2026, 12:26 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% consensus on 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on June 4 stems from the Japan Meteorological Agency's latest official forecast and supporting numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which align on a mild early-June maximum under stable southerly flow and near-normal seasonal conditions. This positions the outcome well within the typical 21–26°C range for the period, with no significant warming signals from current atmospheric patterns. Official observations from the Otemachi station will finalize resolution. A late-day shift in advection or unmodeled local heating could theoretically alter the reading, though current data show limited scope for such deviation before the daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113,124วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 2, 2026, 12:26 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The market's near-certain 100% consensus on 23°C as Tokyo's highest temperature on June 4 stems from the Japan Meteorological Agency's latest official forecast and supporting numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which align on a mild early-June maximum under stable southerly flow and near-normal seasonal conditions. This positions the outcome well within the typical 21–26°C range for the period, with no significant warming signals from current atmospheric patterns. Official observations from the Otemachi station will finalize resolution. A late-day shift in advection or unmodeled local heating could theoretically alter the reading, though current data show limited scope for such deviation before the daily close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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