Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and aligned numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 5, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime solar heating and convective development. This aligns with early-June climatology near 25°C but reflects a cooler anomaly from regional synoptic patterns. Market-implied odds at 100% for 20°C represent traders’ real-time aggregation of these data, with minimal dispersion given the narrow forecast range. Minor upward revisions could occur if clearing skies develop earlier than modeled, though current consensus across ensembles shows low probability of deviation beyond the 20°C threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 5?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 5?
20°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$92,014 ปริมาณ
$92,014 ปริมาณ
Jun 5, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$92,014 ปริมาณ
$92,014 ปริมาณ
Jun 5, 2026
17°C or below
$8,003 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,866 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$11,331 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$18,514 ปริมาณ
Yes
21°C
$12,762 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$8,040 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$10,562 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$8,142 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$4,181 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$4,399 ปริมาณ
No
27°C or higher
$4,214 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and aligned numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 5, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime solar heating and convective development. This aligns with early-June climatology near 25°C but reflects a cooler anomaly from regional synoptic patterns. Market-implied odds at 100% for 20°C represent traders’ real-time aggregation of these data, with minimal dispersion given the narrow forecast range. Minor upward revisions could occur if clearing skies develop earlier than modeled, though current consensus across ensembles shows low probability of deviation beyond the 20°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,014วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and aligned numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 5, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime solar heating and convective development. This aligns with early-June climatology near 25°C but reflects a cooler anomaly from regional synoptic patterns. Market-implied odds at 100% for 20°C represent traders’ real-time aggregation of these data, with minimal dispersion given the narrow forecast range. Minor upward revisions could occur if clearing skies develop earlier than modeled, though current consensus across ensembles shows low probability of deviation beyond the 20°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,014วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and aligned numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 20°C for Tokyo on June 5, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime solar heating and convective development. This aligns with early-June climatology near 25°C but reflects a cooler anomaly from regional synoptic patterns. Market-implied odds at 100% for 20°C represent traders’ real-time aggregation of these data, with minimal dispersion given the narrow forecast range. Minor upward revisions could occur if clearing skies develop earlier than modeled, though current consensus across ensembles shows low probability of deviation beyond the 20°C threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย