Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Warsaw’s June 26 maximum near 30–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiation between adjacent buckets stems from small uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification at Chopin Airport, exact timing of peak insolation, and minor model spread on cloud cover or warm-air advection strength. With only 48 hours until resolution, the next 12–24 h model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates will determine whether the peak settles at 31 °C, pushes to 33 °C, or stays capped near 30 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 26?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 26?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,687 ปริมาณ
$56,687 ปริมาณ
Jun 26, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,687 ปริมาณ
$56,687 ปริมาณ
Jun 26, 2026
26°C or below
$1,240 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$5,442 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$798 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$5,027 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$4,976 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$6,534 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$17,574 ปริมาณ
Yes
33°C
$6,924 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$5,763 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$1,386 ปริมาณ
No
36°C or higher
$1,022 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Warsaw’s June 26 maximum near 30–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiation between adjacent buckets stems from small uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification at Chopin Airport, exact timing of peak insolation, and minor model spread on cloud cover or warm-air advection strength. With only 48 hours until resolution, the next 12–24 h model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates will determine whether the peak settles at 31 °C, pushes to 33 °C, or stays capped near 30 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,687วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Warsaw’s June 26 maximum near 30–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiation between adjacent buckets stems from small uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification at Chopin Airport, exact timing of peak insolation, and minor model spread on cloud cover or warm-air advection strength. With only 48 hours until resolution, the next 12–24 h model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates will determine whether the peak settles at 31 °C, pushes to 33 °C, or stays capped near 30 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,687วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Warsaw’s June 26 maximum near 30–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiation between adjacent buckets stems from small uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer heating, urban heat-island amplification at Chopin Airport, exact timing of peak insolation, and minor model spread on cloud cover or warm-air advection strength. With only 48 hours until resolution, the next 12–24 h model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates will determine whether the peak settles at 31 °C, pushes to 33 °C, or stays capped near 30 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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