Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA), Poland's primary synoptic station managed under IMGW protocols, recorded a maximum air temperature of 27°C on May 3, 2026, during predominantly sunny conditions under a high-pressure ridge. This measurement, captured via standard 2-meter shaded thermometers and corroborated by hourly METAR reports peaking near 27°C in the afternoon, matches pre-event IMGW forecasts of 25-27°C for central Poland and exceeds the May climatological average of 19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this ground-truth data's reliability, with skin-in-the-game bets converging post-event. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from IMGW's final daily bulletin revealing sensor anomalies or urban heat discrepancies, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 3?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 3?
27°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$64,077 ปริมาณ
$64,077 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$64,077 ปริมาณ
$64,077 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
19°C or below
$1,745 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$2,785 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$1,710 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,295 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$3,713 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$4,660 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$6,310 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$11,486 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$9,716 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$12,119 ปริมาณ
No
29°C or higher
$7,537 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA), Poland's primary synoptic station managed under IMGW protocols, recorded a maximum air temperature of 27°C on May 3, 2026, during predominantly sunny conditions under a high-pressure ridge. This measurement, captured via standard 2-meter shaded thermometers and corroborated by hourly METAR reports peaking near 27°C in the afternoon, matches pre-event IMGW forecasts of 25-27°C for central Poland and exceeds the May climatological average of 19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this ground-truth data's reliability, with skin-in-the-game bets converging post-event. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from IMGW's final daily bulletin revealing sensor anomalies or urban heat discrepancies, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,077วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:39 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA), Poland's primary synoptic station managed under IMGW protocols, recorded a maximum air temperature of 27°C on May 3, 2026, during predominantly sunny conditions under a high-pressure ridge. This measurement, captured via standard 2-meter shaded thermometers and corroborated by hourly METAR reports peaking near 27°C in the afternoon, matches pre-event IMGW forecasts of 25-27°C for central Poland and exceeds the May climatological average of 19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this ground-truth data's reliability, with skin-in-the-game bets converging post-event. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from IMGW's final daily bulletin revealing sensor anomalies or urban heat discrepancies, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,077วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:39 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA), Poland's primary synoptic station managed under IMGW protocols, recorded a maximum air temperature of 27°C on May 3, 2026, during predominantly sunny conditions under a high-pressure ridge. This measurement, captured via standard 2-meter shaded thermometers and corroborated by hourly METAR reports peaking near 27°C in the afternoon, matches pre-event IMGW forecasts of 25-27°C for central Poland and exceeds the May climatological average of 19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this ground-truth data's reliability, with skin-in-the-game bets converging post-event. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from IMGW's final daily bulletin revealing sensor anomalies or urban heat discrepancies, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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