Recent MetService guidance and numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on June 24, driven by northeasterly airflow advecting milder air amid typical winter westerlies, increasing cloud cover, and a period of afternoon rain. Ensemble spreads on frontal timing and wind strength underpin the market’s tight clustering around 15–17°C outcomes, which together hold over 85% implied probability. Wellington’s exposure to Cook Strait variability and departure from the 12–13°C June climatological average further shape trader assessments of these thresholds, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on June 24?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 24?
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$178,854 ปริมาณ
$178,854 ปริมาณ
Jun 24, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$178,854 ปริมาณ
$178,854 ปริมาณ
Jun 24, 2026
11°C or below
$127 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$1,159 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$3,112 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$62,016 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$31,907 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$39,444 ปริมาณ
Yes
17°C
$17,586 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$13,728 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$8,934 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$483 ปริมาณ
No
21°C or higher
$359 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService guidance and numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on June 24, driven by northeasterly airflow advecting milder air amid typical winter westerlies, increasing cloud cover, and a period of afternoon rain. Ensemble spreads on frontal timing and wind strength underpin the market’s tight clustering around 15–17°C outcomes, which together hold over 85% implied probability. Wellington’s exposure to Cook Strait variability and departure from the 12–13°C June climatological average further shape trader assessments of these thresholds, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$178,854วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService guidance and numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on June 24, driven by northeasterly airflow advecting milder air amid typical winter westerlies, increasing cloud cover, and a period of afternoon rain. Ensemble spreads on frontal timing and wind strength underpin the market’s tight clustering around 15–17°C outcomes, which together hold over 85% implied probability. Wellington’s exposure to Cook Strait variability and departure from the 12–13°C June climatological average further shape trader assessments of these thresholds, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$178,854วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent MetService guidance and numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on June 24, driven by northeasterly airflow advecting milder air amid typical winter westerlies, increasing cloud cover, and a period of afternoon rain. Ensemble spreads on frontal timing and wind strength underpin the market’s tight clustering around 15–17°C outcomes, which together hold over 85% implied probability. Wellington’s exposure to Cook Strait variability and departure from the 12–13°C June climatological average further shape trader assessments of these thresholds, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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