Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$78,289 ปริมาณ
$78,289 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$78,289 ปริมาณ
$78,289 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
25°C or below
$1,796 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$2,607 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$6,871 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$6,032 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$4,637 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$14,022 ปริมาณ
Yes
31°C
$6,372 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$17,278 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$12,644 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$3,597 ปริมาณ
No
35°C or higher
$2,432 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,289วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,289วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 19, 2026, driven by real-time observational data and forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles showing peaks of 28–31°C amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Midday readings already approached 29–30°C under sunny conditions, aligning with a 6–8°C anomaly above April's climatological average of 22°C, supported by minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convection or a cold front capping temperatures below 30°C, though low-probability given current atmospheric stability; final resolution awaits official Wunderground daily history for the airport station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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