Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 7?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 7?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$209,077 ปริมาณ
$209,077 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$209,077 ปริมาณ
$209,077 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
16°C or below
$14,432 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$459 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$647 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$6,152 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$6,919 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$19,879 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$36,698 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$34,269 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$36,969 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$27,920 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C or higher
$24,734 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$209,077วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$209,077วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย