Recent U.S. Treasury data show the 5-year yield trading near 4.54% as of September 2, 2026, up sharply from 3.74% a year earlier amid persistent inflation pressures. July CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while PCE held at 3.7%; energy and tariff-related costs contributed to the stickiness. The labor market remains balanced with unemployment at 4.1% but softening job gains, including a -23,000 July payroll print. Markets currently price roughly 65% odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, supporting higher yields. Upcoming releases including the September 4 employment report and September 11 CPI will shape near-term rate expectations and any potential yield compression.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
Below 4.52%
51%
Below 4.49%
49%
Below 4.46%
49%
Below 4.43%
49%
Below 4.40%
51%
Below 4.37%
50%
Below 4.32%
50%
Below 4.27%
50%
Below 4.20%
51%
$0.00 ปริมาณ
Below 4.52%
$0 ปริมาณ
51%
Below 4.49%
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Below 4.46%
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Below 4.43%
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
Below 4.40%
$0 ปริมาณ
51%
Below 4.37%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.32%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.27%
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Below 4.20%
$0 ปริมาณ
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent U.S. Treasury data show the 5-year yield trading near 4.54% as of September 2, 2026, up sharply from 3.74% a year earlier amid persistent inflation pressures. July CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while PCE held at 3.7%; energy and tariff-related costs contributed to the stickiness. The labor market remains balanced with unemployment at 4.1% but softening job gains, including a -23,000 July payroll print. Markets currently price roughly 65% odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, supporting higher yields. Upcoming releases including the September 4 employment report and September 11 CPI will shape near-term rate expectations and any potential yield compression.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 8:45 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 8:45 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent U.S. Treasury data show the 5-year yield trading near 4.54% as of September 2, 2026, up sharply from 3.74% a year earlier amid persistent inflation pressures. July CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while PCE held at 3.7%; energy and tariff-related costs contributed to the stickiness. The labor market remains balanced with unemployment at 4.1% but softening job gains, including a -23,000 July payroll print. Markets currently price roughly 65% odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, supporting higher yields. Upcoming releases including the September 4 employment report and September 11 CPI will shape near-term rate expectations and any potential yield compression.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 8:45 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. Treasury data show the 5-year yield trading near 4.54% as of September 2, 2026, up sharply from 3.74% a year earlier amid persistent inflation pressures. July CPI rose 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while PCE held at 3.7%; energy and tariff-related costs contributed to the stickiness. The labor market remains balanced with unemployment at 4.1% but softening job gains, including a -23,000 July payroll print. Markets currently price roughly 65% odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, supporting higher yields. Upcoming releases including the September 4 employment report and September 11 CPI will shape near-term rate expectations and any potential yield compression.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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