Iran faces sustained domestic pressure from the 2025–2026 protests that began in late December 2025 over economic collapse, hyperinflation, and living costs, spreading across all provinces before security forces imposed a severe crackdown involving mass arrests, executions, and nationwide internet blackouts. The regime replaced key officials including the central bank governor and adjusted subsidies while reasserting control by mid-January 2026, though demonstrations reignited in February amid the 2026 Iran war and related strikes. Military and media appointments in late January signaled internal dissatisfaction with protest handling. Into mid-2026, persistent power shortages, economic contraction, and post-conflict transition have kept opposition activity and reformist calls alive, yet primary sources and analysts report no verified coup attempts or imminent institutional overthrow as the Islamic Republic maintains core security structures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$2,114,203 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
11%
$2,114,203 ปริมาณ
December 31
$72,978 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran faces sustained domestic pressure from the 2025–2026 protests that began in late December 2025 over economic collapse, hyperinflation, and living costs, spreading across all provinces before security forces imposed a severe crackdown involving mass arrests, executions, and nationwide internet blackouts. The regime replaced key officials including the central bank governor and adjusted subsidies while reasserting control by mid-January 2026, though demonstrations reignited in February amid the 2026 Iran war and related strikes. Military and media appointments in late January signaled internal dissatisfaction with protest handling. Into mid-2026, persistent power shortages, economic contraction, and post-conflict transition have kept opposition activity and reformist calls alive, yet primary sources and analysts report no verified coup attempts or imminent institutional overthrow as the Islamic Republic maintains core security structures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,114,203วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran faces sustained domestic pressure from the 2025–2026 protests that began in late December 2025 over economic collapse, hyperinflation, and living costs, spreading across all provinces before security forces imposed a severe crackdown involving mass arrests, executions, and nationwide internet blackouts. The regime replaced key officials including the central bank governor and adjusted subsidies while reasserting control by mid-January 2026, though demonstrations reignited in February amid the 2026 Iran war and related strikes. Military and media appointments in late January signaled internal dissatisfaction with protest handling. Into mid-2026, persistent power shortages, economic contraction, and post-conflict transition have kept opposition activity and reformist calls alive, yet primary sources and analysts report no verified coup attempts or imminent institutional overthrow as the Islamic Republic maintains core security structures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,114,203วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran faces sustained domestic pressure from the 2025–2026 protests that began in late December 2025 over economic collapse, hyperinflation, and living costs, spreading across all provinces before security forces imposed a severe crackdown involving mass arrests, executions, and nationwide internet blackouts. The regime replaced key officials including the central bank governor and adjusted subsidies while reasserting control by mid-January 2026, though demonstrations reignited in February amid the 2026 Iran war and related strikes. Military and media appointments in late January signaled internal dissatisfaction with protest handling. Into mid-2026, persistent power shortages, economic contraction, and post-conflict transition have kept opposition activity and reformist calls alive, yet primary sources and analysts report no verified coup attempts or imminent institutional overthrow as the Islamic Republic maintains core security structures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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