Incumbent Republican Ron Estes secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary for Kansas's 4th congressional district, facing Democrat Katy Tyndell in the November general election. The seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles including 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 91.5 percent. Estes benefits from incumbency, name recognition, and the district's suburban and rural voter base around Wichita. A narrow Democratic path would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a major candidate-specific disruption such as a late scandal or health event, or turnout anomalies exceeding historical patterns in this solidly Republican-leaning district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKS-04 House Election Winner
KS-04 House Election Winner
$59,498 ปริมาณ
$59,498 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$59,498 ปริมาณ
$59,498 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$35,288 ปริมาณ
92%
Democratic Party
$24,210 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ron Estes secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary for Kansas's 4th congressional district, facing Democrat Katy Tyndell in the November general election. The seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles including 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 91.5 percent. Estes benefits from incumbency, name recognition, and the district's suburban and rural voter base around Wichita. A narrow Democratic path would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a major candidate-specific disruption such as a late scandal or health event, or turnout anomalies exceeding historical patterns in this solidly Republican-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,498วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ron Estes secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary for Kansas's 4th congressional district, facing Democrat Katy Tyndell in the November general election. The seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles including 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 91.5 percent. Estes benefits from incumbency, name recognition, and the district's suburban and rural voter base around Wichita. A narrow Democratic path would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a major candidate-specific disruption such as a late scandal or health event, or turnout anomalies exceeding historical patterns in this solidly Republican-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,498วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ron Estes secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary for Kansas's 4th congressional district, facing Democrat Katy Tyndell in the November general election. The seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles including 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 91.5 percent. Estes benefits from incumbency, name recognition, and the district's suburban and rural voter base around Wichita. A narrow Democratic path would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a major candidate-specific disruption such as a late scandal or health event, or turnout anomalies exceeding historical patterns in this solidly Republican-leaning district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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