Kansas's 4th congressional district remains a structurally Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12, encompassing Wichita and surrounding areas. Incumbent Republican Ron Estes faces a primary challenge from Frank McCollum ahead of the August 4 contest, while multiple Democrats including Chris Carmichael vie for their nomination. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election matchup as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Estes's 65% victory margin in 2024. National generic ballot surveys showing modest Democratic leads have not altered local fundamentals, leaving trader pricing anchored in the district's consistent electoral history and limited path for Democratic gains.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKS-04 House Election Winner
KS-04 House Election Winner
$31,319 ปริมาณ
$31,319 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
14%
$31,319 ปริมาณ
$31,319 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$18,606 ปริมาณ
85%
Democratic Party
$12,713 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kansas's 4th congressional district remains a structurally Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12, encompassing Wichita and surrounding areas. Incumbent Republican Ron Estes faces a primary challenge from Frank McCollum ahead of the August 4 contest, while multiple Democrats including Chris Carmichael vie for their nomination. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election matchup as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Estes's 65% victory margin in 2024. National generic ballot surveys showing modest Democratic leads have not altered local fundamentals, leaving trader pricing anchored in the district's consistent electoral history and limited path for Democratic gains.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,319วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kansas's 4th congressional district remains a structurally Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12, encompassing Wichita and surrounding areas. Incumbent Republican Ron Estes faces a primary challenge from Frank McCollum ahead of the August 4 contest, while multiple Democrats including Chris Carmichael vie for their nomination. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election matchup as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Estes's 65% victory margin in 2024. National generic ballot surveys showing modest Democratic leads have not altered local fundamentals, leaving trader pricing anchored in the district's consistent electoral history and limited path for Democratic gains.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,319วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas's 4th congressional district remains a structurally Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12, encompassing Wichita and surrounding areas. Incumbent Republican Ron Estes faces a primary challenge from Frank McCollum ahead of the August 4 contest, while multiple Democrats including Chris Carmichael vie for their nomination. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election matchup as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Estes's 65% victory margin in 2024. National generic ballot surveys showing modest Democratic leads have not altered local fundamentals, leaving trader pricing anchored in the district's consistent electoral history and limited path for Democratic gains.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย