Incumbent Republican Ron Estes dominates trader sentiment in Kansas' 4th Congressional District House race, with 84% implied probability reflecting the seat's Solid Republican Cook rating and R+12 Partisan Voter Index. Estes, unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary after filing in January, boasts $1.6 million cash on hand from Q1 FEC reports, dwarfing the fragmented Democratic primary field including Katy Tyndell ($120,000 cash), Chris Carmichael ($43,000), and challengers Jordan Mitchell, Cole Epley, and Ryan Gilbert. No polls exist yet, but the district's 23-point Trump margin and Estes' 65% prior win underpin the lopsided odds ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKS-04 House Election Winner
KS-04 House Election Winner
$29,112 ปริมาณ
$29,112 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
13%
$29,112 ปริมาณ
$29,112 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,803 ปริมาณ
84%
Democratic Party
$12,308 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ron Estes dominates trader sentiment in Kansas' 4th Congressional District House race, with 84% implied probability reflecting the seat's Solid Republican Cook rating and R+12 Partisan Voter Index. Estes, unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary after filing in January, boasts $1.6 million cash on hand from Q1 FEC reports, dwarfing the fragmented Democratic primary field including Katy Tyndell ($120,000 cash), Chris Carmichael ($43,000), and challengers Jordan Mitchell, Cole Epley, and Ryan Gilbert. No polls exist yet, but the district's 23-point Trump margin and Estes' 65% prior win underpin the lopsided odds ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,112วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ron Estes dominates trader sentiment in Kansas' 4th Congressional District House race, with 84% implied probability reflecting the seat's Solid Republican Cook rating and R+12 Partisan Voter Index. Estes, unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary after filing in January, boasts $1.6 million cash on hand from Q1 FEC reports, dwarfing the fragmented Democratic primary field including Katy Tyndell ($120,000 cash), Chris Carmichael ($43,000), and challengers Jordan Mitchell, Cole Epley, and Ryan Gilbert. No polls exist yet, but the district's 23-point Trump margin and Estes' 65% prior win underpin the lopsided odds ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,112วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ron Estes dominates trader sentiment in Kansas' 4th Congressional District House race, with 84% implied probability reflecting the seat's Solid Republican Cook rating and R+12 Partisan Voter Index. Estes, unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary after filing in January, boasts $1.6 million cash on hand from Q1 FEC reports, dwarfing the fragmented Democratic primary field including Katy Tyndell ($120,000 cash), Chris Carmichael ($43,000), and challengers Jordan Mitchell, Cole Epley, and Ryan Gilbert. No polls exist yet, but the district's 23-point Trump margin and Estes' 65% prior win underpin the lopsided odds ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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