Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 23 most likely between 11–13 °C under moderate westerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Clearer nocturnal conditions or lighter winds could allow temperatures to reach the lower end of that range, while increased low-level cloud or a passing weak front would favor readings near 13–14 °C. These outcomes align with late-August climatology, when average overnight lows hover near 13 °C. Traders are weighting the tight cluster of 12 °C and 13 °C contracts because successive model runs show only modest spread, with the next significant update expected from the 00 UTC cycle on 22 August.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
12°C 25%
13°C 23%
11°C 17%
15°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
2%
9°C
11%
10°C
14%
11°C
17%
12°C
25%
13°C
23%
14°C
16%
15°C
17%
16°C
11%
17°C
9%
18°C or higher
1%
12°C 25%
13°C 23%
11°C 17%
15°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$15 ปริมาณ
2%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
15°C
$15 ปริมาณ
17%
16°C
$20 ปริมาณ
11%
17°C
$20 ปริมาณ
9%
18°C or higher
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 23 most likely between 11–13 °C under moderate westerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Clearer nocturnal conditions or lighter winds could allow temperatures to reach the lower end of that range, while increased low-level cloud or a passing weak front would favor readings near 13–14 °C. These outcomes align with late-August climatology, when average overnight lows hover near 13 °C. Traders are weighting the tight cluster of 12 °C and 13 °C contracts because successive model runs show only modest spread, with the next significant update expected from the 00 UTC cycle on 22 August.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 23 most likely between 11–13 °C under moderate westerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Clearer nocturnal conditions or lighter winds could allow temperatures to reach the lower end of that range, while increased low-level cloud or a passing weak front would favor readings near 13–14 °C. These outcomes align with late-August climatology, when average overnight lows hover near 13 °C. Traders are weighting the tight cluster of 12 °C and 13 °C contracts because successive model runs show only modest spread, with the next significant update expected from the 00 UTC cycle on 22 August.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 23 most likely between 11–13 °C under moderate westerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. Clearer nocturnal conditions or lighter winds could allow temperatures to reach the lower end of that range, while increased low-level cloud or a passing weak front would favor readings near 13–14 °C. These outcomes align with late-August climatology, when average overnight lows hover near 13 °C. Traders are weighting the tight cluster of 12 °C and 13 °C contracts because successive model runs show only modest spread, with the next significant update expected from the 00 UTC cycle on 22 August.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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