Recent Miami forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather point to overnight lows near 80°F on August 22, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F, as elevated humidity from the ongoing heat wave limits nocturnal radiative cooling and maintains above-normal minimums. Recent observations show minimum temperatures running 3–4°F above the 1991–2020 August average of 78°F, with urban heat island effects and light winds further suppressing drops. Model consensus emphasizes persistent warm, moist air masses without significant frontal passages or enhanced sea-breeze cooling overnight, though scattered thunderstorms could introduce minor variability in localized readings. Traders weigh these factors against historical August lows rarely falling below 74°F, positioning the 78–81°F bins as the highest-probability resolution range ahead of final NWS verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on August 22?
80-81°F 54%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 11%
74-75°F 10%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
54%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
3%
80-81°F 54%
78-79°F 25%
82-83°F 11%
74-75°F 10%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
54%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Miami forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather point to overnight lows near 80°F on August 22, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F, as elevated humidity from the ongoing heat wave limits nocturnal radiative cooling and maintains above-normal minimums. Recent observations show minimum temperatures running 3–4°F above the 1991–2020 August average of 78°F, with urban heat island effects and light winds further suppressing drops. Model consensus emphasizes persistent warm, moist air masses without significant frontal passages or enhanced sea-breeze cooling overnight, though scattered thunderstorms could introduce minor variability in localized readings. Traders weigh these factors against historical August lows rarely falling below 74°F, positioning the 78–81°F bins as the highest-probability resolution range ahead of final NWS verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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