National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on May 6?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 6?
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$75,298 ปริมาณ
$75,298 ปริมาณ
May 6, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$75,298 ปริมาณ
$75,298 ปริมาณ
May 6, 2026
69°F or below
$1,752 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$2,861 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$2,365 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$2,933 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$8,248 ปริมาณ
Yes
78-79°F
$1,121 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$1,726 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$6,840 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$16,093 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$16,939 ปริมาณ
No
88°F or higher
$14,420 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75,298วันสิ้นสุด
May 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75,298วันสิ้นสุด
May 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the lowest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 76°F around 5 AM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 76-77°F under clear skies, light winds, and dew points near 71°F that restricted radiative cooling in a humid southerly air mass. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecasts anticipating mid-to-upper 70s lows amid South Florida's urban heat island effect and above-normal May warmth, where historical daily minimums average 73°F but recent patterns favor persistence. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions in the forthcoming CLI report or auxiliary station discrepancies, though KMIA measurements provide authoritative ground truth for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย