Strong meteorological forecasts for June 13, 2026, underpin the near-certain market consensus around a 16°C low in Paris, with models from Météo-France and European ensembles projecting clear skies, light winds, and stable overnight conditions yielding a minimum near that threshold at the official Paris-Le Bourget station. This aligns with seasonal baselines for mid-June, where average lows hover near 13–14°C but recent high-pressure dominance has kept readings milder. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these model runs, which show limited spread and minimal risk of significant cooling. Only a late-model shift introducing unexpected radiative cooling or localized fog could realistically push the actual minimum to 15°C or below, though such revisions remain unlikely given current observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on June 13?
16°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
$12,106 ปริมาณ
$12,106 ปริมาณ
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
$12,106 ปริมาณ
$12,106 ปริมาณ
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Strong meteorological forecasts for June 13, 2026, underpin the near-certain market consensus around a 16°C low in Paris, with models from Météo-France and European ensembles projecting clear skies, light winds, and stable overnight conditions yielding a minimum near that threshold at the official Paris-Le Bourget station. This aligns with seasonal baselines for mid-June, where average lows hover near 13–14°C but recent high-pressure dominance has kept readings milder. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these model runs, which show limited spread and minimal risk of significant cooling. Only a late-model shift introducing unexpected radiative cooling or localized fog could realistically push the actual minimum to 15°C or below, though such revisions remain unlikely given current observational data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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