Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 18?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$24,737 ปริมาณ
$24,737 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$24,737 ปริมาณ
$24,737 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
13°C or below
$338 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$655 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$2,030 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$4,207 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$7,947 ปริมาณ
Yes
18°C
$1,687 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,787 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$2,703 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$1,877 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$525 ปริมาณ
No
23°C or higher
$980 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,737วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,737วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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