Wellington's minimum temperature on August 21 is forecast to reach 8°C according to MetService guidance, reflecting mild winter conditions with limited cold-air advection and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus at 95% for this outcome aligns with model runs showing no significant polar outbreaks or clear-sky frost risk in the current pattern, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures from NIWA outlooks. This positioning rests on verified observational baselines and short-range forecast consensus rather than long-term projections. A rapid shift in steering winds or an unexpected high-pressure setup promoting stronger surface cooling could push readings lower, though such changes would require notable model divergence not currently indicated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wellington on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 21?
8°C 96%
6°C 4%
7°C 4%
5°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
2%
6°C
4%
7°C
4%
8°C
72%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
8°C 96%
6°C 4%
7°C 4%
5°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
2°C or below
$221 ปริมาณ
<1%
3°C
$192 ปริมาณ
<1%
4°C
$194 ปริมาณ
<1%
5°C
$144 ปริมาณ
2%
6°C
$91 ปริมาณ
4%
7°C
$108 ปริมาณ
4%
8°C
$211 ปริมาณ
72%
9°C
$241 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$80 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C or higher
$95 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's minimum temperature on August 21 is forecast to reach 8°C according to MetService guidance, reflecting mild winter conditions with limited cold-air advection and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus at 95% for this outcome aligns with model runs showing no significant polar outbreaks or clear-sky frost risk in the current pattern, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures from NIWA outlooks. This positioning rests on verified observational baselines and short-range forecast consensus rather than long-term projections. A rapid shift in steering winds or an unexpected high-pressure setup promoting stronger surface cooling could push readings lower, though such changes would require notable model divergence not currently indicated.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,592วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's minimum temperature on August 21 is forecast to reach 8°C according to MetService guidance, reflecting mild winter conditions with limited cold-air advection and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus at 95% for this outcome aligns with model runs showing no significant polar outbreaks or clear-sky frost risk in the current pattern, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures from NIWA outlooks. This positioning rests on verified observational baselines and short-range forecast consensus rather than long-term projections. A rapid shift in steering winds or an unexpected high-pressure setup promoting stronger surface cooling could push readings lower, though such changes would require notable model divergence not currently indicated.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,592วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's minimum temperature on August 21 is forecast to reach 8°C according to MetService guidance, reflecting mild winter conditions with limited cold-air advection and partly cloudy skies that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus at 95% for this outcome aligns with model runs showing no significant polar outbreaks or clear-sky frost risk in the current pattern, consistent with near-average seasonal temperatures from NIWA outlooks. This positioning rests on verified observational baselines and short-range forecast consensus rather than long-term projections. A rapid shift in steering winds or an unexpected high-pressure setup promoting stronger surface cooling could push readings lower, though such changes would require notable model divergence not currently indicated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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