Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a potential influx of cooler polar air this weekend, following earlier August cold outbreaks, with official guidance from sources like the Met Office projecting a nighttime minimum near 7°C on August 23 amid variable northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions. Model consensus supports trader emphasis on 10–12°C outcomes as the most probable range, reflecting typical late-winter variability where radiative cooling overnight competes with maritime moderation and wind mixing that can raise minima. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any cold surge and local topographic effects in the capital, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour observational data from central stations rather than broader regional averages.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
10°C 30%
5°C or below 22%
11°C 22%
12°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
5°C or below
22%
6°C
7%
7°C
12%
8°C
13%
9°C
7%
10°C
30%
11°C
22%
12°C
18%
13°C
17%
14°C
8%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 30%
5°C or below 22%
11°C 22%
12°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
5°C or below
$32 ปริมาณ
22%
6°C
$20 ปริมาณ
7%
7°C
$20 ปริมาณ
12%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
11°C
$4 ปริมาณ
22%
12°C
$55 ปริมาณ
18%
13°C
$27 ปริมาณ
17%
14°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
15°C or higher
$27 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a potential influx of cooler polar air this weekend, following earlier August cold outbreaks, with official guidance from sources like the Met Office projecting a nighttime minimum near 7°C on August 23 amid variable northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions. Model consensus supports trader emphasis on 10–12°C outcomes as the most probable range, reflecting typical late-winter variability where radiative cooling overnight competes with maritime moderation and wind mixing that can raise minima. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any cold surge and local topographic effects in the capital, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour observational data from central stations rather than broader regional averages.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$189วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a potential influx of cooler polar air this weekend, following earlier August cold outbreaks, with official guidance from sources like the Met Office projecting a nighttime minimum near 7°C on August 23 amid variable northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions. Model consensus supports trader emphasis on 10–12°C outcomes as the most probable range, reflecting typical late-winter variability where radiative cooling overnight competes with maritime moderation and wind mixing that can raise minima. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any cold surge and local topographic effects in the capital, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour observational data from central stations rather than broader regional averages.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$189วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a potential influx of cooler polar air this weekend, following earlier August cold outbreaks, with official guidance from sources like the Met Office projecting a nighttime minimum near 7°C on August 23 amid variable northerly winds and partly cloudy conditions. Model consensus supports trader emphasis on 10–12°C outcomes as the most probable range, reflecting typical late-winter variability where radiative cooling overnight competes with maritime moderation and wind mixing that can raise minima. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any cold surge and local topographic effects in the capital, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour observational data from central stations rather than broader regional averages.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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