Tight polling between the National-led government and Labour opposition blocs has kept the 2026 New Zealand general election competitive, a factor that has historically lifted participation rates in MMP contests. Youth enrolment remains low despite recent gains to around 57 percent, while targeted campaigns seek to raise rangatahi turnout ahead of the 25 October deadline. Stricter enrolment rules under the Electoral Amendment Act 2025 and a lower dormant roll compared with 2023 add uncertainty. Trader consensus clusters on the 76-80 percent range, reflecting these offsetting pressures and the absence of major late catalysts that could shift the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew Zealand Election: Turnout
New Zealand Election: Turnout
78-80% 37%
76-78% 31%
80-82% 23.8%
<76% 4.8%
$20,181 ปริมาณ
$20,181 ปริมาณ
Nov 6, 2026
<76%
5%
76-78%
31%
78-80%
37%
80-82%
24%
82-84%
1%
84%+
4%
78-80% 37%
76-78% 31%
80-82% 23.8%
<76% 4.8%
$20,181 ปริมาณ
$20,181 ปริมาณ
Nov 6, 2026
<76%
$1,049 ปริมาณ
5%
76-78%
$4,200 ปริมาณ
31%
78-80%
$7,439 ปริมาณ
37%
80-82%
$5,375 ปริมาณ
24%
82-84%
$1,300 ปริมาณ
1%
84%+
$818 ปริมาณ
4%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Tight polling between the National-led government and Labour opposition blocs has kept the 2026 New Zealand general election competitive, a factor that has historically lifted participation rates in MMP contests. Youth enrolment remains low despite recent gains to around 57 percent, while targeted campaigns seek to raise rangatahi turnout ahead of the 25 October deadline. Stricter enrolment rules under the Electoral Amendment Act 2025 and a lower dormant roll compared with 2023 add uncertainty. Trader consensus clusters on the 76-80 percent range, reflecting these offsetting pressures and the absence of major late catalysts that could shift the balance.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,181วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Tight polling between the National-led government and Labour opposition blocs has kept the 2026 New Zealand general election competitive, a factor that has historically lifted participation rates in MMP contests. Youth enrolment remains low despite recent gains to around 57 percent, while targeted campaigns seek to raise rangatahi turnout ahead of the 25 October deadline. Stricter enrolment rules under the Electoral Amendment Act 2025 and a lower dormant roll compared with 2023 add uncertainty. Trader consensus clusters on the 76-80 percent range, reflecting these offsetting pressures and the absence of major late catalysts that could shift the balance.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,181วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Tight polling between the National-led government and Labour opposition blocs has kept the 2026 New Zealand general election competitive, a factor that has historically lifted participation rates in MMP contests. Youth enrolment remains low despite recent gains to around 57 percent, while targeted campaigns seek to raise rangatahi turnout ahead of the 25 October deadline. Stricter enrolment rules under the Electoral Amendment Act 2025 and a lower dormant roll compared with 2023 add uncertainty. Trader consensus clusters on the 76-80 percent range, reflecting these offsetting pressures and the absence of major late catalysts that could shift the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
37%
Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
34%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
56%
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