Derek Merrin commands 86.5% trader consensus as the OH-09 Republican primary frontrunner on May 5, bolstered by name recognition from his 2024 GOP nomination win and narrow general election loss to incumbent Marcy Kaptur, positioning him as the experienced rematch candidate in the redrawn, Trump-leaning district. Recent candidate forums highlighted his steady lead amid a fragmented field, while state Rep. Josh Williams' strong Q4 fundraising propelled him to 8.8%, and former ICE Deputy Director Madison Sheahan's border security focus drew 6.5% support. Challengers Alea Nadeem (4.8%), Anthony Campbell (1.8%), Jacob Frost (1.6%), and Wayne Kinsel (0.5%) trail due to lower visibility. Voter registration closed April 6, with early voting underway and DCCC ads amplifying primary infighting unlikely to shift odds absent a late endorsement surge or scandal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDerek Merrin 86%
Madison Sheahan 7%
Alea Nadeem 4.2%
Josh Williams 2.4%
Derek Merrin
86%
Madison Sheahan
7%
Alea Nadeem
4%
Josh Williams
8%
Anthony Campbell
2%
Jacob Frost
2%
Wayne Kinsel
1%
Derek Merrin 86%
Madison Sheahan 7%
Alea Nadeem 4.2%
Josh Williams 2.4%
Derek Merrin
86%
Madison Sheahan
7%
Alea Nadeem
4%
Josh Williams
8%
Anthony Campbell
2%
Jacob Frost
2%
Wayne Kinsel
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Derek Merrin commands 86.5% trader consensus as the OH-09 Republican primary frontrunner on May 5, bolstered by name recognition from his 2024 GOP nomination win and narrow general election loss to incumbent Marcy Kaptur, positioning him as the experienced rematch candidate in the redrawn, Trump-leaning district. Recent candidate forums highlighted his steady lead amid a fragmented field, while state Rep. Josh Williams' strong Q4 fundraising propelled him to 8.8%, and former ICE Deputy Director Madison Sheahan's border security focus drew 6.5% support. Challengers Alea Nadeem (4.8%), Anthony Campbell (1.8%), Jacob Frost (1.6%), and Wayne Kinsel (0.5%) trail due to lower visibility. Voter registration closed April 6, with early voting underway and DCCC ads amplifying primary infighting unlikely to shift odds absent a late endorsement surge or scandal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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