OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent shift to a 2027 IPO timeline, confirmed by CEO Sam Altman in September, anchor trader expectations around a high closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 private round set an $852 billion valuation, with recent investor discussions exploring a $1.2–1.5 trillion pre-IPO round fueled by annualized revenue exceeding $40 billion and traction from new models including GPT-5.6 and Astra. Altman’s insistence on at least a $1 trillion target, combined with strong AI-sector multiples and revenue growth, supports the 61.5% implied probability of a 1.5T+ outcome, while the 22.9% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects ongoing safety priorities and potential further delays. Key near-term catalysts include any additional private funding and 2027 earnings visibility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว1.5T+ 61.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 22.9%
1.25T–1.5T 10%
1T–1.25T 3.7%
$372,117 ปริมาณ
$372,117 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
3%
1T–1.25T
4%
1.25T–1.5T
10%
1.5T+
61%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
23%
1.5T+ 61.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 22.9%
1.25T–1.5T 10%
1T–1.25T 3.7%
$372,117 ปริมาณ
$372,117 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$30,106 ปริมาณ
1%
500–750B
$28,071 ปริมาณ
1%
750B–1T
$66,167 ปริมาณ
3%
1T–1.25T
$49,484 ปริมาณ
4%
1.25T–1.5T
$38,963 ปริมาณ
10%
1.5T+
$78,403 ปริมาณ
61%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$80,923 ปริมาณ
23%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent shift to a 2027 IPO timeline, confirmed by CEO Sam Altman in September, anchor trader expectations around a high closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 private round set an $852 billion valuation, with recent investor discussions exploring a $1.2–1.5 trillion pre-IPO round fueled by annualized revenue exceeding $40 billion and traction from new models including GPT-5.6 and Astra. Altman’s insistence on at least a $1 trillion target, combined with strong AI-sector multiples and revenue growth, supports the 61.5% implied probability of a 1.5T+ outcome, while the 22.9% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects ongoing safety priorities and potential further delays. Key near-term catalysts include any additional private funding and 2027 earnings visibility.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$372,117วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent shift to a 2027 IPO timeline, confirmed by CEO Sam Altman in September, anchor trader expectations around a high closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 private round set an $852 billion valuation, with recent investor discussions exploring a $1.2–1.5 trillion pre-IPO round fueled by annualized revenue exceeding $40 billion and traction from new models including GPT-5.6 and Astra. Altman’s insistence on at least a $1 trillion target, combined with strong AI-sector multiples and revenue growth, supports the 61.5% implied probability of a 1.5T+ outcome, while the 22.9% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects ongoing safety priorities and potential further delays. Key near-term catalysts include any additional private funding and 2027 earnings visibility.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$372,117วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2f5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent shift to a 2027 IPO timeline, confirmed by CEO Sam Altman in September, anchor trader expectations around a high closing market cap. The company’s March 2026 private round set an $852 billion valuation, with recent investor discussions exploring a $1.2–1.5 trillion pre-IPO round fueled by annualized revenue exceeding $40 billion and traction from new models including GPT-5.6 and Astra. Altman’s insistence on at least a $1 trillion target, combined with strong AI-sector multiples and revenue growth, supports the 61.5% implied probability of a 1.5T+ outcome, while the 22.9% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects ongoing safety priorities and potential further delays. Key near-term catalysts include any additional private funding and 2027 earnings visibility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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