Recent polling averages from sources including YouGov, Economist, and NYT trackers place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of mid-August 2026, with figures clustered between 36% and 39% across multiple surveys. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.4 range because short-term movement has been limited amid steady economic and foreign-policy pressures, including inflation concerns and midterm positioning. Historical patterns for second-term presidents at this stage support narrow bands around these levels unless major events intervene before the August 14 measurement window closes. The distribution of adjacent bins reflects modest uncertainty over daily fluctuations in ongoing aggregates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว38.0–38.4 51%
37.5–37.9 26%
38.5–38.9 16%
37.0–37.4 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
1%
37.0–37.4
9%
37.5–37.9
26%
38.0–38.4
51%
38.5–38.9
16%
39.0+
3%
38.0–38.4 51%
37.5–37.9 26%
38.5–38.9 16%
37.0–37.4 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
$602 ปริมาณ
1%
37.0–37.4
$430 ปริมาณ
9%
37.5–37.9
$630 ปริมาณ
26%
38.0–38.4
$714 ปริมาณ
51%
38.5–38.9
$953 ปริมาณ
16%
39.0+
$780 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from sources including YouGov, Economist, and NYT trackers place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of mid-August 2026, with figures clustered between 36% and 39% across multiple surveys. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.4 range because short-term movement has been limited amid steady economic and foreign-policy pressures, including inflation concerns and midterm positioning. Historical patterns for second-term presidents at this stage support narrow bands around these levels unless major events intervene before the August 14 measurement window closes. The distribution of adjacent bins reflects modest uncertainty over daily fluctuations in ongoing aggregates.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,109วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from sources including YouGov, Economist, and NYT trackers place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of mid-August 2026, with figures clustered between 36% and 39% across multiple surveys. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.4 range because short-term movement has been limited amid steady economic and foreign-policy pressures, including inflation concerns and midterm positioning. Historical patterns for second-term presidents at this stage support narrow bands around these levels unless major events intervene before the August 14 measurement window closes. The distribution of adjacent bins reflects modest uncertainty over daily fluctuations in ongoing aggregates.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,109วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages from sources including YouGov, Economist, and NYT trackers place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s as of mid-August 2026, with figures clustered between 36% and 39% across multiple surveys. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.4 range because short-term movement has been limited amid steady economic and foreign-policy pressures, including inflation concerns and midterm positioning. Historical patterns for second-term presidents at this stage support narrow bands around these levels unless major events intervene before the August 14 measurement window closes. The distribution of adjacent bins reflects modest uncertainty over daily fluctuations in ongoing aggregates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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