US military operations in Venezuela peaked with the January 3, 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro via targeted strikes and special forces raids under Operation Absolute Resolve, fulfilling core objectives tied to drug trafficking charges and regional pressure. Subsequent developments, including prisoner releases by the acting government, partial sanctions relief on oil trade, and a shift toward diplomatic stabilization, have reduced immediate triggers for renewed ground or air presence. Trader consensus reflected in low single-digit to mid-teen implied probabilities for re-entry by June 30, 2026, aligns with the absence of escalated naval deployments, new authorization debates in Congress, or fresh intelligence on cartel or regime threats since the initial intervention. Ongoing factors include monitoring of Venezuela's transition dynamics and any spillover from Caribbean counter-narcotics efforts, though no scheduled votes, summits, or deadlines currently point to additional troop movements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วกองกำลังสหรัฐเข้าสู่เวเนซุเอลาอีกครั้งโดย...?
กองกำลังสหรัฐเข้าสู่เวเนซุเอลาอีกครั้งโดย...?
$1,315,737 ปริมาณ
Jan 31, 2026
30 มิถุนายน
14%
$1,315,737 ปริมาณ
30 มิถุนายน
$230,974 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military operations in Venezuela peaked with the January 3, 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro via targeted strikes and special forces raids under Operation Absolute Resolve, fulfilling core objectives tied to drug trafficking charges and regional pressure. Subsequent developments, including prisoner releases by the acting government, partial sanctions relief on oil trade, and a shift toward diplomatic stabilization, have reduced immediate triggers for renewed ground or air presence. Trader consensus reflected in low single-digit to mid-teen implied probabilities for re-entry by June 30, 2026, aligns with the absence of escalated naval deployments, new authorization debates in Congress, or fresh intelligence on cartel or regime threats since the initial intervention. Ongoing factors include monitoring of Venezuela's transition dynamics and any spillover from Caribbean counter-narcotics efforts, though no scheduled votes, summits, or deadlines currently point to additional troop movements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,315,737วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military operations in Venezuela peaked with the January 3, 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro via targeted strikes and special forces raids under Operation Absolute Resolve, fulfilling core objectives tied to drug trafficking charges and regional pressure. Subsequent developments, including prisoner releases by the acting government, partial sanctions relief on oil trade, and a shift toward diplomatic stabilization, have reduced immediate triggers for renewed ground or air presence. Trader consensus reflected in low single-digit to mid-teen implied probabilities for re-entry by June 30, 2026, aligns with the absence of escalated naval deployments, new authorization debates in Congress, or fresh intelligence on cartel or regime threats since the initial intervention. Ongoing factors include monitoring of Venezuela's transition dynamics and any spillover from Caribbean counter-narcotics efforts, though no scheduled votes, summits, or deadlines currently point to additional troop movements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,315,737วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military operations in Venezuela peaked with the January 3, 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro via targeted strikes and special forces raids under Operation Absolute Resolve, fulfilling core objectives tied to drug trafficking charges and regional pressure. Subsequent developments, including prisoner releases by the acting government, partial sanctions relief on oil trade, and a shift toward diplomatic stabilization, have reduced immediate triggers for renewed ground or air presence. Trader consensus reflected in low single-digit to mid-teen implied probabilities for re-entry by June 30, 2026, aligns with the absence of escalated naval deployments, new authorization debates in Congress, or fresh intelligence on cartel or regime threats since the initial intervention. Ongoing factors include monitoring of Venezuela's transition dynamics and any spillover from Caribbean counter-narcotics efforts, though no scheduled votes, summits, or deadlines currently point to additional troop movements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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