Ongoing legal proceedings against several high-profile figures, including Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption trials in Israel and U.S. investigations tied to prior administrations or protests, shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent enforcement actions, such as federal fraud crackdowns and ICE operations targeting criminal networks in 2026, illustrate active use of prosecutorial tools. Domestic political tensions, Senate dynamics, and potential DOJ priorities through year-end influence assessments of near-term arrests. International cases involving diplomats or activists add variables, while resolution hinges on verified detentions before January 1, 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will be arrested before 2027?
$218,906 ปริมาณ
John Brennan
39%
James Clapper
19%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
17%
Letitia James
18%
Loretta Lynch
11%
Anthony Fauci
9%
Mahmoud Khalil
25%
James Comey
8%
Brandon Johnson
11%
Susan Rice
8%
Lisa Cook
7%
Candace Owens
11%
Kash Patel
6%
Gavin Newsom
6%
John Kerry
6%
Tom Homan
5%
Pam Bondi
4%
Adam Schiff
4%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
3%
Barack Obama
2%
Lee Jun-seok
2%
Joe Biden
2%
Benjamin Netanyahu
7%
$218,906 ปริมาณ
John Brennan
39%
James Clapper
19%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
17%
Letitia James
18%
Loretta Lynch
11%
Anthony Fauci
9%
Mahmoud Khalil
25%
James Comey
8%
Brandon Johnson
11%
Susan Rice
8%
Lisa Cook
7%
Candace Owens
11%
Kash Patel
6%
Gavin Newsom
6%
John Kerry
6%
Tom Homan
5%
Pam Bondi
4%
Adam Schiff
4%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
3%
Barack Obama
2%
Lee Jun-seok
2%
Joe Biden
2%
Benjamin Netanyahu
7%
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing legal proceedings against several high-profile figures, including Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption trials in Israel and U.S. investigations tied to prior administrations or protests, shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Recent enforcement actions, such as federal fraud crackdowns and ICE operations targeting criminal networks in 2026, illustrate active use of prosecutorial tools. Domestic political tensions, Senate dynamics, and potential DOJ priorities through year-end influence assessments of near-term arrests. International cases involving diplomats or activists add variables, while resolution hinges on verified detentions before January 1, 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย