Trader consensus centers on former U.S. intelligence officials and activists facing congressional scrutiny or enforcement proceedings. John Brennan and James Comey register elevated shares due to ongoing probes into prior agency actions and related congressional oversight. Mahmoud Khalil's position stems from prior immigration detention and potential follow-on proceedings tied to protest activity. International entries such as Lee Jae-myung reflect domestic court timelines and legislative efforts that could alter detention prospects before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff. Recent DOJ and ICE operations, Senate appearances involving Fifth Amendment invocations, and scheduled hearings supply the primary catalysts traders weigh against structural barriers like prosecutorial discretion and evidentiary thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$410,572 ปริมาณ
Anthony Fauci
9%
John Brennan
21%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
11%
Adam Schiff
2%
Barack Obama
2%
James Comey
9%
Mahmoud Khalil
21%
James Clapper
12%
Letitia James
10%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Bill Clinton
1%
Loretta Lynch
8%
Susan Rice
9%
Candace Owens
7%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
1%
Pam Bondi
2%
Tom Homan
5%
Kash Patel
1%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Lisa Cook
4%
Lee Jun-seok
12%
Joe Biden
1%
$410,572 ปริมาณ
Anthony Fauci
$164,421 ปริมาณ
9%
John Brennan
$22,244 ปริมาณ
21%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$23,220 ปริมาณ
11%
Adam Schiff
$16,570 ปริมาณ
2%
Barack Obama
$29,276 ปริมาณ
2%
James Comey
$10,293 ปริมาณ
9%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,328 ปริมาณ
21%
James Clapper
$6,774 ปริมาณ
12%
Letitia James
$3,047 ปริมาณ
10%
Hillary Clinton
$26,162 ปริมาณ
3%
Bill Clinton
$2,726 ปริมาณ
1%
Loretta Lynch
$2,411 ปริมาณ
8%
Susan Rice
$304 ปริมาณ
9%
Candace Owens
$268 ปริมาณ
7%
Gavin Newsom
$39,406 ปริมาณ
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,936 ปริมาณ
5%
John Kerry
$503 ปริมาณ
1%
Pam Bondi
$2,189 ปริมาณ
2%
Tom Homan
$41,331 ปริมาณ
5%
Kash Patel
$598 ปริมาณ
1%
Brandon Johnson
$3,284 ปริมาณ
12%
Lisa Cook
$4,005 ปริมาณ
4%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 ปริมาณ
12%
Joe Biden
$7,481 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus centers on former U.S. intelligence officials and activists facing congressional scrutiny or enforcement proceedings. John Brennan and James Comey register elevated shares due to ongoing probes into prior agency actions and related congressional oversight. Mahmoud Khalil's position stems from prior immigration detention and potential follow-on proceedings tied to protest activity. International entries such as Lee Jae-myung reflect domestic court timelines and legislative efforts that could alter detention prospects before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff. Recent DOJ and ICE operations, Senate appearances involving Fifth Amendment invocations, and scheduled hearings supply the primary catalysts traders weigh against structural barriers like prosecutorial discretion and evidentiary thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$410,572ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus centers on former U.S. intelligence officials and activists facing congressional scrutiny or enforcement proceedings. John Brennan and James Comey register elevated shares due to ongoing probes into prior agency actions and related congressional oversight. Mahmoud Khalil's position stems from prior immigration detention and potential follow-on proceedings tied to protest activity. International entries such as Lee Jae-myung reflect domestic court timelines and legislative efforts that could alter detention prospects before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff. Recent DOJ and ICE operations, Senate appearances involving Fifth Amendment invocations, and scheduled hearings supply the primary catalysts traders weigh against structural barriers like prosecutorial discretion and evidentiary thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$410,572ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus centers on former U.S. intelligence officials and activists facing congressional scrutiny or enforcement proceedings. John Brennan and James Comey register elevated shares due to ongoing probes into prior agency actions and related congressional oversight. Mahmoud Khalil's position stems from prior immigration detention and potential follow-on proceedings tied to protest activity. International entries such as Lee Jae-myung reflect domestic court timelines and legislative efforts that could alter detention prospects before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff. Recent DOJ and ICE operations, Senate appearances involving Fifth Amendment invocations, and scheduled hearings supply the primary catalysts traders weigh against structural barriers like prosecutorial discretion and evidentiary thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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