Ongoing DOJ investigations into former intelligence officials and state attorneys general, including probes into John Brennan's congressional testimony and Letitia James's financial disclosures, represent the primary driver of trader positioning. These efforts, advanced through federal grand juries and executive directives since early 2025, continue amid reported internal pressures on prosecutors and periodic case adjustments, such as the April 2026 removal of a lead attorney from the Brennan matter. Broader legal proceedings involving mortgage fraud allegations and prior Russia-related inquiries add layers of procedural complexity, with outcomes hinging on evidentiary thresholds, Senate oversight, and any intervening court rulings before the 2027 cutoff. Trader consensus reflects the inherent unpredictability of federal charging decisions in a politically charged environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$116,427 ปริมาณ
John Brennan
41%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
30%
Mahmoud Khalil
29%
James Clapper
25%
Lee Jun-seok
23%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Tom Homan
19%
Letitia James
27%
Loretta Lynch
11%
Anthony Fauci
8%
Candace Owens
7%
Hillary Clinton
7%
Benjamin Netanyahu
27%
John Kerry
6%
Kash Patel
6%
Adam Schiff
6%
Gavin Newsom
5%
Pam Bondi
5%
James Comey
5%
Bill Clinton
4%
Barack Obama
4%
Joe Biden
3%
Susan Rice
49%
Lisa Cook
47%
$116,427 ปริมาณ
John Brennan
$6,657 ปริมาณ
41%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$7,862 ปริมาณ
30%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,190 ปริมาณ
29%
James Clapper
$2,645 ปริมาณ
25%
Lee Jun-seok
$555 ปริมาณ
23%
Brandon Johnson
$1,887 ปริมาณ
12%
Tom Homan
$28,110 ปริมาณ
19%
Letitia James
$1,340 ปริมาณ
27%
Loretta Lynch
$437 ปริมาณ
11%
Anthony Fauci
$8,085 ปริมาณ
8%
Candace Owens
$257 ปริมาณ
7%
Hillary Clinton
$14,663 ปริมาณ
7%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$275 ปริมาณ
27%
John Kerry
$97 ปริมาณ
6%
Kash Patel
$153 ปริมาณ
6%
Adam Schiff
$6,575 ปริมาณ
6%
Gavin Newsom
$19,172 ปริมาณ
5%
Pam Bondi
$1,539 ปริมาณ
5%
James Comey
$9,224 ปริมาณ
5%
Bill Clinton
$332 ปริมาณ
4%
Barack Obama
$2,632 ปริมาณ
4%
Joe Biden
$1,977 ปริมาณ
3%
Susan Rice
$262 ปริมาณ
49%
Lisa Cook
$497 ปริมาณ
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing DOJ investigations into former intelligence officials and state attorneys general, including probes into John Brennan's congressional testimony and Letitia James's financial disclosures, represent the primary driver of trader positioning. These efforts, advanced through federal grand juries and executive directives since early 2025, continue amid reported internal pressures on prosecutors and periodic case adjustments, such as the April 2026 removal of a lead attorney from the Brennan matter. Broader legal proceedings involving mortgage fraud allegations and prior Russia-related inquiries add layers of procedural complexity, with outcomes hinging on evidentiary thresholds, Senate oversight, and any intervening court rulings before the 2027 cutoff. Trader consensus reflects the inherent unpredictability of federal charging decisions in a politically charged environment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$116,427ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing DOJ investigations into former intelligence officials and state attorneys general, including probes into John Brennan's congressional testimony and Letitia James's financial disclosures, represent the primary driver of trader positioning. These efforts, advanced through federal grand juries and executive directives since early 2025, continue amid reported internal pressures on prosecutors and periodic case adjustments, such as the April 2026 removal of a lead attorney from the Brennan matter. Broader legal proceedings involving mortgage fraud allegations and prior Russia-related inquiries add layers of procedural complexity, with outcomes hinging on evidentiary thresholds, Senate oversight, and any intervening court rulings before the 2027 cutoff. Trader consensus reflects the inherent unpredictability of federal charging decisions in a politically charged environment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$116,427ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing DOJ investigations into former intelligence officials and state attorneys general, including probes into John Brennan's congressional testimony and Letitia James's financial disclosures, represent the primary driver of trader positioning. These efforts, advanced through federal grand juries and executive directives since early 2025, continue amid reported internal pressures on prosecutors and periodic case adjustments, such as the April 2026 removal of a lead attorney from the Brennan matter. Broader legal proceedings involving mortgage fraud allegations and prior Russia-related inquiries add layers of procedural complexity, with outcomes hinging on evidentiary thresholds, Senate oversight, and any intervening court rulings before the 2027 cutoff. Trader consensus reflects the inherent unpredictability of federal charging decisions in a politically charged environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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