Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner's unchallenged path to the Democratic nomination, secured on April 8 after no rivals qualified for the August 4 primary, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic victory in Virginia's blue-leaning Senate race. Warner's reelection filing on March 16 with over 18,000 signatures, combined with his $12 million cash-on-hand fundraising edge, consistent early polling leads over hypothetical Republican foes, and failed GOP recruitment of popular ex-Governor Glenn Youngkin, solidify his commanding position amid a fragmented Republican field led by longshot retired General Bert Mizusawa. While Virginia's partisan lean favors incumbents like Warner, a surprise GOP nominee consolidation, Warner scandal, health issue, or strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap before November's general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$7,508 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican
$931 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner's unchallenged path to the Democratic nomination, secured on April 8 after no rivals qualified for the August 4 primary, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic victory in Virginia's blue-leaning Senate race. Warner's reelection filing on March 16 with over 18,000 signatures, combined with his $12 million cash-on-hand fundraising edge, consistent early polling leads over hypothetical Republican foes, and failed GOP recruitment of popular ex-Governor Glenn Youngkin, solidify his commanding position amid a fragmented Republican field led by longshot retired General Bert Mizusawa. While Virginia's partisan lean favors incumbents like Warner, a surprise GOP nominee consolidation, Warner scandal, health issue, or strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,439วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner's unchallenged path to the Democratic nomination, secured on April 8 after no rivals qualified for the August 4 primary, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic victory in Virginia's blue-leaning Senate race. Warner's reelection filing on March 16 with over 18,000 signatures, combined with his $12 million cash-on-hand fundraising edge, consistent early polling leads over hypothetical Republican foes, and failed GOP recruitment of popular ex-Governor Glenn Youngkin, solidify his commanding position amid a fragmented Republican field led by longshot retired General Bert Mizusawa. While Virginia's partisan lean favors incumbents like Warner, a surprise GOP nominee consolidation, Warner scandal, health issue, or strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,439วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner's unchallenged path to the Democratic nomination, secured on April 8 after no rivals qualified for the August 4 primary, drives trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic victory in Virginia's blue-leaning Senate race. Warner's reelection filing on March 16 with over 18,000 signatures, combined with his $12 million cash-on-hand fundraising edge, consistent early polling leads over hypothetical Republican foes, and failed GOP recruitment of popular ex-Governor Glenn Youngkin, solidify his commanding position amid a fragmented Republican field led by longshot retired General Bert Mizusawa. While Virginia's partisan lean favors incumbents like Warner, a surprise GOP nominee consolidation, Warner scandal, health issue, or strong national Republican midterm wave could narrow the gap before November's general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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