The nonpartisan top-two primary for Washington's 3rd Congressional District on August 4, 2026, features incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez facing a consolidated Republican challenge from state Senate Minority Leader John Braun. The May filing deadline and Braun's Trump endorsement plus NRCC backing have driven trader consensus toward his advancement at high implied probability, alongside Perez. A modest Republican lean in the district, signals of Democratic vote fragmentation among multiple candidates, and early polling showing Braun ahead of Perez have reinforced this positioning. Market participants continue to watch for any late endorsements or consolidation ahead of the contest that determines the general election matchup.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$43,315 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
John Braun
94%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
87%
Brent Hennrich
20%
Antony Barran
16%
Lawrence Kellogg
6%
Eric Vaughan
4%
Suzzanna V. Tanner
1%
$43,315 ปริมาณ
John Braun
$5,234 ปริมาณ
94%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
$8,898 ปริมาณ
87%
Brent Hennrich
$18,612 ปริมาณ
20%
Antony Barran
$158 ปริมาณ
16%
Lawrence Kellogg
$5,310 ปริมาณ
6%
Eric Vaughan
$4,198 ปริมาณ
4%
Suzzanna V. Tanner
$905 ปริมาณ
1%
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.The nonpartisan top-two primary for Washington's 3rd Congressional District on August 4, 2026, features incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez facing a consolidated Republican challenge from state Senate Minority Leader John Braun. The May filing deadline and Braun's Trump endorsement plus NRCC backing have driven trader consensus toward his advancement at high implied probability, alongside Perez. A modest Republican lean in the district, signals of Democratic vote fragmentation among multiple candidates, and early polling showing Braun ahead of Perez have reinforced this positioning. Market participants continue to watch for any late endorsements or consolidation ahead of the contest that determines the general election matchup.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,315วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.The nonpartisan top-two primary for Washington's 3rd Congressional District on August 4, 2026, features incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez facing a consolidated Republican challenge from state Senate Minority Leader John Braun. The May filing deadline and Braun's Trump endorsement plus NRCC backing have driven trader consensus toward his advancement at high implied probability, alongside Perez. A modest Republican lean in the district, signals of Democratic vote fragmentation among multiple candidates, and early polling showing Braun ahead of Perez have reinforced this positioning. Market participants continue to watch for any late endorsements or consolidation ahead of the contest that determines the general election matchup.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,315วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The nonpartisan top-two primary for Washington's 3rd Congressional District on August 4, 2026, features incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez facing a consolidated Republican challenge from state Senate Minority Leader John Braun. The May filing deadline and Braun's Trump endorsement plus NRCC backing have driven trader consensus toward his advancement at high implied probability, alongside Perez. A modest Republican lean in the district, signals of Democratic vote fragmentation among multiple candidates, and early polling showing Braun ahead of Perez have reinforced this positioning. Market participants continue to watch for any late endorsements or consolidation ahead of the contest that determines the general election matchup.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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