Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly Claude Fable 5 in early June and Opus 4.8, have solidified its lead through top scores on SWE-Bench Verified (reaching 95%) and related agentic coding evaluations. Traders cite the models’ 1M-token context windows, strong performance in multi-file refactoring, long-horizon workflows, and real-world developer adoption via tools like Claude Code as decisive edges over OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and other labs. With only days remaining until end-of-June resolution, this benchmark dominance and ecosystem momentum underpin the 95.9% implied probability. A late surprise release or undisclosed capability jump from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear improbable given current trajectories.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich company has the best Coding AI model end of June?
Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?
Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
ByteDance <1%
$121,799 ปริมาณ
$121,799 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
No
Alibaba
No
ByteDance
No
Moonshot
No
Z.ai
No
DeepSeek
No
Meta
No
Anthropic
Yes
OpenAI
No
xAI
No
Baidu
No
Amazon
No
Mistral
No
Meituan
No
Microsoft
No
Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
ByteDance <1%
$121,799 ปริมาณ
$121,799 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
$12,215 ปริมาณ
No
Alibaba
$10,563 ปริมาณ
No
ByteDance
$1,844 ปริมาณ
No
Moonshot
$11,689 ปริมาณ
No
Z.ai
$17,450 ปริมาณ
No
DeepSeek
$9,105 ปริมาณ
No
Meta
$747 ปริมาณ
No
Anthropic
$19,314 ปริมาณ
Yes
OpenAI
$17,235 ปริมาณ
No
xAI
$14,341 ปริมาณ
No
Baidu
$868 ปริมาณ
No
Amazon
$894 ปริมาณ
No
Mistral
$1,058 ปริมาณ
No
Meituan
$870 ปริมาณ
No
Microsoft
$3,607 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly Claude Fable 5 in early June and Opus 4.8, have solidified its lead through top scores on SWE-Bench Verified (reaching 95%) and related agentic coding evaluations. Traders cite the models’ 1M-token context windows, strong performance in multi-file refactoring, long-horizon workflows, and real-world developer adoption via tools like Claude Code as decisive edges over OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and other labs. With only days remaining until end-of-June resolution, this benchmark dominance and ecosystem momentum underpin the 95.9% implied probability. A late surprise release or undisclosed capability jump from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear improbable given current trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$121,799วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly Claude Fable 5 in early June and Opus 4.8, have solidified its lead through top scores on SWE-Bench Verified (reaching 95%) and related agentic coding evaluations. Traders cite the models’ 1M-token context windows, strong performance in multi-file refactoring, long-horizon workflows, and real-world developer adoption via tools like Claude Code as decisive edges over OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and other labs. With only days remaining until end-of-June resolution, this benchmark dominance and ecosystem momentum underpin the 95.9% implied probability. A late surprise release or undisclosed capability jump from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear improbable given current trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$121,799วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Anthropic’s recent releases, particularly Claude Fable 5 in early June and Opus 4.8, have solidified its lead through top scores on SWE-Bench Verified (reaching 95%) and related agentic coding evaluations. Traders cite the models’ 1M-token context windows, strong performance in multi-file refactoring, long-horizon workflows, and real-world developer adoption via tools like Claude Code as decisive edges over OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and other labs. With only days remaining until end-of-June resolution, this benchmark dominance and ecosystem momentum underpin the 95.9% implied probability. A late surprise release or undisclosed capability jump from OpenAI or Google could narrow the gap, though such shifts appear improbable given current trajectories.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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