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Who will be arrested before 2027?

icon for Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

$357,201 ปริมาณ

Polymarket

$357,201 ปริมาณ

Polymarket

Anthony Fauci

$128,333 ปริมาณ

12%

John Brennan

$18,168 ปริมาณ

29%

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

$21,499 ปริมาณ

20%

Adam Schiff

$16,394 ปริมาณ

3%

Barack Obama

$28,484 ปริมาณ

1%

James Comey

$9,601 ปริมาณ

8%

Mahmoud Khalil

$1,278 ปริมาณ

32%

James Clapper

$6,706 ปริมาณ

14%

Letitia James

$2,821 ปริมาณ

13%

Hillary Clinton

$25,009 ปริมาณ

3%

Bill Clinton

$2,008 ปริมาณ

3%

Loretta Lynch

$2,376 ปริมาณ

11%

Susan Rice

$304 ปริมาณ

9%

Candace Owens

$263 ปริมาณ

6%

Gavin Newsom

$37,141 ปริมาณ

3%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$1,789 ปริมาณ

5%

John Kerry

$346 ปริมาณ

3%

Pam Bondi

$1,998 ปริมาณ

3%

Tom Homan

$39,428 ปริมาณ

11%

Kash Patel

$530 ปริมาณ

3%

Brandon Johnson

$3,174 ปริมาณ

14%

Lisa Cook

$3,218 ปริมาณ

11%

Lee Jun-seok

$794 ปริมาณ

11%

Joe Biden

$5,538 ปริมาณ

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Active DOJ investigations into former CIA Director John Brennan over alleged false statements to Congress regarding the Russia probe and related matters have advanced through subpoenas, grand jury activity, and personnel shifts, sustaining elevated trading interest. Dr. Anthony Fauci faces a Senate contempt referral after invoking the Fifth Amendment during 2026 COVID-19 testimony, testing the scope of a prior presidential pardon. Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero remains under formal investigation by Spain’s Audiencia Nacional on influence-peddling and money-laundering charges tied to a 2021 airline bailout, with court appearances and searches already conducted. These parallel probes into high-profile officials, occurring amid shifting executive and legislative priorities, represent the primary near-term catalysts traders weigh against procedural and evidentiary barriers before the January 2027 resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$357,201
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Active DOJ investigations into former CIA Director John Brennan over alleged false statements to Congress regarding the Russia probe and related matters have advanced through subpoenas, grand jury activity, and personnel shifts, sustaining elevated trading interest. Dr. Anthony Fauci faces a Senate contempt referral after invoking the Fifth Amendment during 2026 COVID-19 testimony, testing the scope of a prior presidential pardon. Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero remains under formal investigation by Spain’s Audiencia Nacional on influence-peddling and money-laundering charges tied to a 2021 airline bailout, with court appearances and searches already conducted. These parallel probes into high-profile officials, occurring amid shifting executive and legislative priorities, represent the primary near-term catalysts traders weigh against procedural and evidentiary barriers before the January 2027 resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$357,201
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"Who will be arrested before 2027?" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่มี 24 ผลลัพธ์ที่เป็นไปได้ โดยนักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้นตามสิ่งที่เชื่อว่าจะเกิดขึ้น ผลลัพธ์ที่นำอยู่ในปัจจุบันคือ "Mahmoud Khalil" ที่ 33% ตามด้วย "John Brennan" ที่ 28% ราคาสะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนแบบเรียลไทม์ ตัวอย่างเช่น หุ้นที่มีราคา 33¢ หมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 33% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

ณ วันนี้ "Who will be arrested before 2027?" มีปริมาณการซื้อขายรวม $357.2K ตั้งแต่ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ Apr 30, 2026 ระดับการซื้อขายนี้สะท้อนถึงการมีส่วนร่วมอย่างมากจากชุมชน Polymarket และช่วยให้อัตราปัจจุบันได้รับข้อมูลจากผู้เข้าร่วมตลาดจำนวนมาก คุณสามารถติดตามการเคลื่อนไหวของราคาแบบสดและเทรดผลลัพธ์ใดก็ได้จากหน้านี้โดยตรง

ในการเทรด "Who will be arrested before 2027?" ดู 24 ผลลัพธ์ที่มีในหน้านี้ แต่ละผลลัพธ์แสดงราคาปัจจุบันที่เป็นตัวแทนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด เลือกผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเชื่อว่ามีโอกาสสูงสุด เลือก "Yes" เพื่อเทรดสนับสนุนหรือ "No" เพื่อเทรดคัดค้าน ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเลือกถูกต้องเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $1 ต่อหุ้น ถ้าไม่ถูกต้อง จ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ตัวเต็งปัจจุบันสำหรับ "Who will be arrested before 2027?" คือ "Mahmoud Khalil" ที่ 33% ซึ่งหมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 33% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น ผลลัพธ์ที่ตามมาคือ "John Brennan" ที่ 28% อัตราเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามที่นักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้น จึงสะท้อนมุมมองรวมล่าสุดว่าอะไรมีโอกาสเกิดขึ้นมากที่สุด กลับมาดูบ่อยๆ หรือบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามว่าอัตราเปลี่ยนไปอย่างไรเมื่อมีข้อมูลใหม่

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "Who will be arrested before 2027?" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้