The trader consensus favoring no U.S. invasion of Cuba in 2026 reflects the Trump administration’s emphasis on economic coercion and diplomatic pressure over direct military action. Key developments include the January 2026 executive order imposing a fuel blockade and tariffs on third-country oil suppliers, the indictment of Raúl Castro, and increased surveillance flights alongside deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier group to the Caribbean as a show of force. These steps aim at regime change or a negotiated “deal” before year-end, following the cutoff of Venezuelan oil supplies, while Cuba has engaged in prisoner releases and talks with U.S. officials. Military contingency planning has been discussed but remains preliminary, with no authorization for invasion amid competing priorities such as the Iran situation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯจะบุกคิวบาในปี 2026 หรือไม่?
สหรัฐฯจะบุกคิวบาในปี 2026 หรือไม่?
ใช่
$3,215,714 ปริมาณ
$3,215,714 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
$3,215,714 ปริมาณ
$3,215,714 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The trader consensus favoring no U.S. invasion of Cuba in 2026 reflects the Trump administration’s emphasis on economic coercion and diplomatic pressure over direct military action. Key developments include the January 2026 executive order imposing a fuel blockade and tariffs on third-country oil suppliers, the indictment of Raúl Castro, and increased surveillance flights alongside deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier group to the Caribbean as a show of force. These steps aim at regime change or a negotiated “deal” before year-end, following the cutoff of Venezuelan oil supplies, while Cuba has engaged in prisoner releases and talks with U.S. officials. Military contingency planning has been discussed but remains preliminary, with no authorization for invasion amid competing priorities such as the Iran situation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,215,714วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The trader consensus favoring no U.S. invasion of Cuba in 2026 reflects the Trump administration’s emphasis on economic coercion and diplomatic pressure over direct military action. Key developments include the January 2026 executive order imposing a fuel blockade and tariffs on third-country oil suppliers, the indictment of Raúl Castro, and increased surveillance flights alongside deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier group to the Caribbean as a show of force. These steps aim at regime change or a negotiated “deal” before year-end, following the cutoff of Venezuelan oil supplies, while Cuba has engaged in prisoner releases and talks with U.S. officials. Military contingency planning has been discussed but remains preliminary, with no authorization for invasion amid competing priorities such as the Iran situation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,215,714วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The trader consensus favoring no U.S. invasion of Cuba in 2026 reflects the Trump administration’s emphasis on economic coercion and diplomatic pressure over direct military action. Key developments include the January 2026 executive order imposing a fuel blockade and tariffs on third-country oil suppliers, the indictment of Raúl Castro, and increased surveillance flights alongside deployment of the USS Nimitz carrier group to the Caribbean as a show of force. These steps aim at regime change or a negotiated “deal” before year-end, following the cutoff of Venezuelan oil supplies, while Cuba has engaged in prisoner releases and talks with U.S. officials. Military contingency planning has been discussed but remains preliminary, with no authorization for invasion amid competing priorities such as the Iran situation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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