Recent developments center on the 2026 midterm elections and Democratic efforts to advance articles of impeachment. Multiple resolutions, including H.Res. 353 and H.Res. 939, have been introduced in the Republican-controlled House and referred to the Judiciary Committee. Trump's April 2026 statements during Iran-related tensions, along with later remarks on election integrity, prompted renewed calls from Democratic lawmakers for proceedings. With current House forecasts showing Democrats positioned to gain seats and potentially secure a majority in November 2026, traders assign elevated odds to successful passage of articles in the subsequent Congress. Impeachment requires only a House majority vote; Senate conviction remains a separate threshold. These midterm dynamics and the existing resolutions form the primary drivers behind the 64% implied probability for impeachment before the term concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$85,536 ปริมาณ
$85,536 ปริมาณ
Jan 20, 2029
$85,536 ปริมาณ
$85,536 ปริมาณ
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent developments center on the 2026 midterm elections and Democratic efforts to advance articles of impeachment. Multiple resolutions, including H.Res. 353 and H.Res. 939, have been introduced in the Republican-controlled House and referred to the Judiciary Committee. Trump's April 2026 statements during Iran-related tensions, along with later remarks on election integrity, prompted renewed calls from Democratic lawmakers for proceedings. With current House forecasts showing Democrats positioned to gain seats and potentially secure a majority in November 2026, traders assign elevated odds to successful passage of articles in the subsequent Congress. Impeachment requires only a House majority vote; Senate conviction remains a separate threshold. These midterm dynamics and the existing resolutions form the primary drivers behind the 64% implied probability for impeachment before the term concludes.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$85,536วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2029ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent developments center on the 2026 midterm elections and Democratic efforts to advance articles of impeachment. Multiple resolutions, including H.Res. 353 and H.Res. 939, have been introduced in the Republican-controlled House and referred to the Judiciary Committee. Trump's April 2026 statements during Iran-related tensions, along with later remarks on election integrity, prompted renewed calls from Democratic lawmakers for proceedings. With current House forecasts showing Democrats positioned to gain seats and potentially secure a majority in November 2026, traders assign elevated odds to successful passage of articles in the subsequent Congress. Impeachment requires only a House majority vote; Senate conviction remains a separate threshold. These midterm dynamics and the existing resolutions form the primary drivers behind the 64% implied probability for impeachment before the term concludes.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$85,536วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2029ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments center on the 2026 midterm elections and Democratic efforts to advance articles of impeachment. Multiple resolutions, including H.Res. 353 and H.Res. 939, have been introduced in the Republican-controlled House and referred to the Judiciary Committee. Trump's April 2026 statements during Iran-related tensions, along with later remarks on election integrity, prompted renewed calls from Democratic lawmakers for proceedings. With current House forecasts showing Democrats positioned to gain seats and potentially secure a majority in November 2026, traders assign elevated odds to successful passage of articles in the subsequent Congress. Impeachment requires only a House majority vote; Senate conviction remains a separate threshold. These midterm dynamics and the existing resolutions form the primary drivers behind the 64% implied probability for impeachment before the term concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย