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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
Teknolohiya·App

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
Teknolohiya·App

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?

Sep 18

Sep 18

Muse 55%

Google Gemini 26%

ChatGPT 24%

Vinted 22%

Polymarket
BAGO

Muse 55%

Google Gemini 26%

ChatGPT 24%

Vinted 22%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Muse

Muse

$110 Vol.

55%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$50 Vol.

26%

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Vinted

Vinted

$5 Vol.

22%

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$50 Vol.

21%

icon for Google Maps

Google Maps

$130 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Meta's recent U.S. launch of its standalone AI agent app Muse has driven its rapid climb to the #2 free spot on the Apple App Store charts, with over 83,000 iOS downloads in days, positioning it as the market favorite at 56% implied probability for September 18. Traders weigh this momentum against Muse's comparatively modest debut pace versus prior Meta releases like Threads or Meta AI, alongside ChatGPT's entrenched #1 ranking and steady Gemini presence. Competitive dynamics hinge on sustained download velocity and retention for agentic features—such as background task execution in secure virtual machines—versus broader chatbot ecosystems, with potential volatility from app updates, user migration among AI tools, or seasonal engagement shifts in the narrow window before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$345
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Meta's recent U.S. launch of its standalone AI agent app Muse has driven its rapid climb to the #2 free spot on the Apple App Store charts, with over 83,000 iOS downloads in days, positioning it as the market favorite at 56% implied probability for September 18. Traders weigh this momentum against Muse's comparatively modest debut pace versus prior Meta releases like Threads or Meta AI, alongside ChatGPT's entrenched #1 ranking and steady Gemini presence. Competitive dynamics hinge on sustained download velocity and retention for agentic features—such as background task execution in secure virtual machines—versus broader chatbot ecosystems, with potential volatility from app updates, user migration among AI tools, or seasonal engagement shifts in the narrow window before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$345
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Muse" sa 56%, sinusundan ng "Google Gemini" sa 26%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 56¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 56% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 11, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?" ay "Muse" sa 56%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 56% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Google Gemini" sa 26%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.