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icon for 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout

icon for 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout

60-65% 98.4%

55-60% <1%

<50% <1%

65%+ <1%

Polymarket

$190,277 Vol.

60-65% 98.4%

55-60% <1%

<50% <1%

65%+ <1%

Polymarket

$190,277 Vol.

<50%

$27,659 Vol.

No

50-55%

$29,039 Vol.

No

55-60%

$56,132 Vol.

No

60-65%

$54,449 Vol.

Yes

65%+

$22,997 Vol.

No

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).Record early voting at 23.51 percent, the highest for South Korean local elections, combined with midday figures reaching 57.4 percent by 5 p.m. on June 3, has anchored trader consensus on 60-65 percent final turnout for the Seoul mayoral contest. This exceeds the 2022 local elections' 50.9 percent nationwide rate and aligns with Seoul's confirmed 63.53 percent participation once counting concludes. The elevated participation reflects broader engagement in the first nationwide local vote under the current administration. Ballot paper shortages at multiple Seoul polling stations, which prompted extended voting, protests, and delays in National Election Commission certification, represent the primary variables that could still shift the final tally outside this narrow band.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
Volume
$190,277
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 26, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).Record early voting at 23.51 percent, the highest for South Korean local elections, combined with midday figures reaching 57.4 percent by 5 p.m. on June 3, has anchored trader consensus on 60-65 percent final turnout for the Seoul mayoral contest. This exceeds the 2022 local elections' 50.9 percent nationwide rate and aligns with Seoul's confirmed 63.53 percent participation once counting concludes. The elevated participation reflects broader engagement in the first nationwide local vote under the current administration. Ballot paper shortages at multiple Seoul polling stations, which prompted extended voting, protests, and delays in National Election Commission certification, represent the primary variables that could still shift the final tally outside this narrow band.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
Volume
$190,277
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 26, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "60-65%" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "<50%" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout" ay naka-generate ng $190.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 26, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout" ay "60-65%" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "<50%" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.