Canada's federal government has sharply reduced 2026 targets for new temporary residents—including students and workers—while setting permanent resident admissions at 380,000, down from prior levels, as part of the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan. These measures aim to lower the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5 percent by year-end, producing projected net outflows that offset permanent inflows and yield flat overall growth according to Parliamentary Budget Officer estimates. Statistics Canada data already showed a 0.2 percent decline through early 2026, driven by the same dynamics. Trader balance around 50 percent reflects uncertainty over the exact pace of outflows versus any upside in permanent admissions or natural increase.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUp
Up
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's federal government has sharply reduced 2026 targets for new temporary residents—including students and workers—while setting permanent resident admissions at 380,000, down from prior levels, as part of the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan. These measures aim to lower the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5 percent by year-end, producing projected net outflows that offset permanent inflows and yield flat overall growth according to Parliamentary Budget Officer estimates. Statistics Canada data already showed a 0.2 percent decline through early 2026, driven by the same dynamics. Trader balance around 50 percent reflects uncertainty over the exact pace of outflows versus any upside in permanent admissions or natural increase.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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