Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through ongoing anti-corruption purges and leadership reshuffles, including early 2026 investigations into senior military figures that traders view as further consolidation rather than vulnerability. Recent high-level meetings and policy addresses have reinforced institutional continuity without verified signs of organized factional dissent or military challenges capable of producing a coup attempt. The resulting trader consensus reflects the opacity of China's political system combined with the absence of credible indicators of elite fractures or external shocks sufficient to disrupt leadership stability before 2027. Low-probability scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden health developments affecting top leaders or an acute economic crisis triggering unexpected internal pressures, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update3% tsansa
$153,576 Vol.
$153,576 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% tsansa
$153,576 Vol.
$153,576 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through ongoing anti-corruption purges and leadership reshuffles, including early 2026 investigations into senior military figures that traders view as further consolidation rather than vulnerability. Recent high-level meetings and policy addresses have reinforced institutional continuity without verified signs of organized factional dissent or military challenges capable of producing a coup attempt. The resulting trader consensus reflects the opacity of China's political system combined with the absence of credible indicators of elite fractures or external shocks sufficient to disrupt leadership stability before 2027. Low-probability scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden health developments affecting top leaders or an acute economic crisis triggering unexpected internal pressures, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$153,576Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through ongoing anti-corruption purges and leadership reshuffles, including early 2026 investigations into senior military figures that traders view as further consolidation rather than vulnerability. Recent high-level meetings and policy addresses have reinforced institutional continuity without verified signs of organized factional dissent or military challenges capable of producing a coup attempt. The resulting trader consensus reflects the opacity of China's political system combined with the absence of credible indicators of elite fractures or external shocks sufficient to disrupt leadership stability before 2027. Low-probability scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden health developments affecting top leaders or an acute economic crisis triggering unexpected internal pressures, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$153,576Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through ongoing anti-corruption purges and leadership reshuffles, including early 2026 investigations into senior military figures that traders view as further consolidation rather than vulnerability. Recent high-level meetings and policy addresses have reinforced institutional continuity without verified signs of organized factional dissent or military challenges capable of producing a coup attempt. The resulting trader consensus reflects the opacity of China's political system combined with the absence of credible indicators of elite fractures or external shocks sufficient to disrupt leadership stability before 2027. Low-probability scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden health developments affecting top leaders or an acute economic crisis triggering unexpected internal pressures, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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