Russia's political system under Vladimir Putin has shown resilience amid ongoing pressures from the Ukraine conflict, including Ukrainian drone strikes on energy and logistics infrastructure, fuel shortages, and economic strain with rising deficits and capital outflows. Approval ratings for the president dipped to 69 percent in mid-2026 per state pollsters, the lowest since 2022, while United Russia faces softer support ahead of September State Duma elections. Security services continue to neutralize alleged external threats through arrests, and no elite fractures, military mutinies, or organized internal challenges have materialized in 2026. Traders assign a 94.5 percent probability against a coup attempt, consistent with the absence of verifiable developments that would shift regime stability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update6% tsansa
$128,143 Vol.
$128,143 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% tsansa
$128,143 Vol.
$128,143 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system under Vladimir Putin has shown resilience amid ongoing pressures from the Ukraine conflict, including Ukrainian drone strikes on energy and logistics infrastructure, fuel shortages, and economic strain with rising deficits and capital outflows. Approval ratings for the president dipped to 69 percent in mid-2026 per state pollsters, the lowest since 2022, while United Russia faces softer support ahead of September State Duma elections. Security services continue to neutralize alleged external threats through arrests, and no elite fractures, military mutinies, or organized internal challenges have materialized in 2026. Traders assign a 94.5 percent probability against a coup attempt, consistent with the absence of verifiable developments that would shift regime stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$128,143Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system under Vladimir Putin has shown resilience amid ongoing pressures from the Ukraine conflict, including Ukrainian drone strikes on energy and logistics infrastructure, fuel shortages, and economic strain with rising deficits and capital outflows. Approval ratings for the president dipped to 69 percent in mid-2026 per state pollsters, the lowest since 2022, while United Russia faces softer support ahead of September State Duma elections. Security services continue to neutralize alleged external threats through arrests, and no elite fractures, military mutinies, or organized internal challenges have materialized in 2026. Traders assign a 94.5 percent probability against a coup attempt, consistent with the absence of verifiable developments that would shift regime stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$128,143Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's political system under Vladimir Putin has shown resilience amid ongoing pressures from the Ukraine conflict, including Ukrainian drone strikes on energy and logistics infrastructure, fuel shortages, and economic strain with rising deficits and capital outflows. Approval ratings for the president dipped to 69 percent in mid-2026 per state pollsters, the lowest since 2022, while United Russia faces softer support ahead of September State Duma elections. Security services continue to neutralize alleged external threats through arrests, and no elite fractures, military mutinies, or organized internal challenges have materialized in 2026. Traders assign a 94.5 percent probability against a coup attempt, consistent with the absence of verifiable developments that would shift regime stability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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