Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92.5% implied probability of no coup attempt in China before 2027, driven by Xi Jinping's unchallenged consolidation of power within the Communist Party and People's Liberation Army. Early 2026 military purges, including investigations of senior generals like Zhang Youxia for corruption, were widely interpreted as loyalty enforcement rather than factional threats, with coup rumors quickly debunked by official silence and continuity in leadership. No verified unrest, leadership challenges, or institutional fractures have emerged in the past 30 days, amid preparations for the 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizing stability and self-reliance. While economic pressures or sudden scandals could shift dynamics, Xi's centralized control and anti-corruption drive sustain the high odds favoring no disruption.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$119,439 Vol.
$119,439 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$119,439 Vol.
$119,439 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92.5% implied probability of no coup attempt in China before 2027, driven by Xi Jinping's unchallenged consolidation of power within the Communist Party and People's Liberation Army. Early 2026 military purges, including investigations of senior generals like Zhang Youxia for corruption, were widely interpreted as loyalty enforcement rather than factional threats, with coup rumors quickly debunked by official silence and continuity in leadership. No verified unrest, leadership challenges, or institutional fractures have emerged in the past 30 days, amid preparations for the 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizing stability and self-reliance. While economic pressures or sudden scandals could shift dynamics, Xi's centralized control and anti-corruption drive sustain the high odds favoring no disruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$119,439Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92.5% implied probability of no coup attempt in China before 2027, driven by Xi Jinping's unchallenged consolidation of power within the Communist Party and People's Liberation Army. Early 2026 military purges, including investigations of senior generals like Zhang Youxia for corruption, were widely interpreted as loyalty enforcement rather than factional threats, with coup rumors quickly debunked by official silence and continuity in leadership. No verified unrest, leadership challenges, or institutional fractures have emerged in the past 30 days, amid preparations for the 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizing stability and self-reliance. While economic pressures or sudden scandals could shift dynamics, Xi's centralized control and anti-corruption drive sustain the high odds favoring no disruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$119,439Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 92.5% implied probability of no coup attempt in China before 2027, driven by Xi Jinping's unchallenged consolidation of power within the Communist Party and People's Liberation Army. Early 2026 military purges, including investigations of senior generals like Zhang Youxia for corruption, were widely interpreted as loyalty enforcement rather than factional threats, with coup rumors quickly debunked by official silence and continuity in leadership. No verified unrest, leadership challenges, or institutional fractures have emerged in the past 30 days, amid preparations for the 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizing stability and self-reliance. While economic pressures or sudden scandals could shift dynamics, Xi's centralized control and anti-corruption drive sustain the high odds favoring no disruption.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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