Xi Jinping maintains centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated elite reshuffles and anti-corruption measures, including recent investigations into senior military figures that have produced no verified challenges to authority. Reports through mid-2026 show continued focus on the 15th Five-Year Plan, economic security priorities, and policy continuity without signs of factional fractures or leadership transitions that historically precede instability. Traders assign 97.2% probability to no coup attempt by end-2026, reflecting the absence of credible triggers in a system where loyalty enforcement has suppressed open dissent. Even so, an unforeseen leadership health event, sharp economic downturn, or external shock could still open pathways for internal realignment before the resolution window closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$133,679 Vol.
$133,679 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$133,679 Vol.
$133,679 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated elite reshuffles and anti-corruption measures, including recent investigations into senior military figures that have produced no verified challenges to authority. Reports through mid-2026 show continued focus on the 15th Five-Year Plan, economic security priorities, and policy continuity without signs of factional fractures or leadership transitions that historically precede instability. Traders assign 97.2% probability to no coup attempt by end-2026, reflecting the absence of credible triggers in a system where loyalty enforcement has suppressed open dissent. Even so, an unforeseen leadership health event, sharp economic downturn, or external shock could still open pathways for internal realignment before the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$133,679Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated elite reshuffles and anti-corruption measures, including recent investigations into senior military figures that have produced no verified challenges to authority. Reports through mid-2026 show continued focus on the 15th Five-Year Plan, economic security priorities, and policy continuity without signs of factional fractures or leadership transitions that historically precede instability. Traders assign 97.2% probability to no coup attempt by end-2026, reflecting the absence of credible triggers in a system where loyalty enforcement has suppressed open dissent. Even so, an unforeseen leadership health event, sharp economic downturn, or external shock could still open pathways for internal realignment before the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$133,679Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping maintains centralized control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated elite reshuffles and anti-corruption measures, including recent investigations into senior military figures that have produced no verified challenges to authority. Reports through mid-2026 show continued focus on the 15th Five-Year Plan, economic security priorities, and policy continuity without signs of factional fractures or leadership transitions that historically precede instability. Traders assign 97.2% probability to no coup attempt by end-2026, reflecting the absence of credible triggers in a system where loyalty enforcement has suppressed open dissent. Even so, an unforeseen leadership health event, sharp economic downturn, or external shock could still open pathways for internal realignment before the resolution window closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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