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icon for Oryol Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
Politika·Russia

Oryol Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

icon for Oryol Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
Politika·Russia

Oryol Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

United Russia 97.8%

CPRF <1%

A Just Russia <1%

New People <1%

Polymarket

$14,300 Vol.

United Russia 97.8%

CPRF <1%

A Just Russia <1%

New People <1%

Polymarket

$14,300 Vol.

icon for United Russia

United Russia

$9,781 Vol.

98%

icon for CPRF

CPRF

$1,299 Vol.

1%

icon for A Just Russia

A Just Russia

$916 Vol.

<1%

icon for New People

New People

$793 Vol.

<1%

icon for Party of Pensioners

Party of Pensioners

$723 Vol.

<1%

icon for LDPR

LDPR

$788 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia's commanding 96.8% implied probability in the Oryol Oblast Council of People's Deputies election reflects its status as Russia's dominant ruling party, historical majorities in regional legislatures, and parallel voting system that allocates half the 50 seats through single-member districts favoring established candidates. Voting concluded September 20 alongside the national Duma election, where United Russia led with over 57% of the vote in early tallies. Incumbency advantages, party organization, and limited viable opposition have reinforced trader consensus. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include unexpectedly strong proportional representation results for CPRF or A Just Russia pushing them ahead in total seats, or verified irregularities prompting recounts, though such shifts remain unlikely given structural factors.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election.

The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$14,300
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 28, 2026, 12:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia's commanding 96.8% implied probability in the Oryol Oblast Council of People's Deputies election reflects its status as Russia's dominant ruling party, historical majorities in regional legislatures, and parallel voting system that allocates half the 50 seats through single-member districts favoring established candidates. Voting concluded September 20 alongside the national Duma election, where United Russia led with over 57% of the vote in early tallies. Incumbency advantages, party organization, and limited viable opposition have reinforced trader consensus. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include unexpectedly strong proportional representation results for CPRF or A Just Russia pushing them ahead in total seats, or verified irregularities prompting recounts, though such shifts remain unlikely given structural factors.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election.

The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Parliamentary elections to elect the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Council of People's Deputies of Oryol Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Oryol Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Oryol Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$14,300
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 28, 2026, 12:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Oryol Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "United Russia" sa 98%, sinusundan ng "CPRF" sa 1%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 98¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Oryol Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner" ay naka-generate ng $14.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 28, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Oryol Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Oryol Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner" ay "United Russia" sa 98%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "CPRF" sa 1%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Oryol Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.