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Politika·Trump

Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?

icon for Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?
Politika·Trump

Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?

27% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
27% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).Former FBI Director James Comey posted a video message on his Substack titled "Seashells" on April 28, directly responding to a fresh DOJ indictment alleging threats via a 2025 Instagram image of arranged seashells interpreted as "86 47." This event-driven post, following a prior video in mid-March, underscores his pattern of using video updates amid legal scrutiny, with near-weekly Substack entries blending text reflections and occasional videos. At 50% Yes, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over a follow-up by May 2: ongoing second indictment proceedings or arraignment scheduling could trigger another rapid response, while a return to routine non-video posts amid no new catalysts would tilt toward No.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).
Volume
$1,007
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 28, 2026, 7:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).Former FBI Director James Comey posted a video message on his Substack titled "Seashells" on April 28, directly responding to a fresh DOJ indictment alleging threats via a 2025 Instagram image of arranged seashells interpreted as "86 47." This event-driven post, following a prior video in mid-March, underscores his pattern of using video updates amid legal scrutiny, with near-weekly Substack entries blending text reflections and occasional videos. At 50% Yes, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over a follow-up by May 2: ongoing second indictment proceedings or arraignment scheduling could trigger another rapid response, while a return to routine non-video posts amid no new catalysts would tilt toward No.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).
Volume
$1,007
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 28, 2026, 7:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if James Comey posts any video of himself speaking to the camera on his official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey) by May 1, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the video must visibly and audibly include James Comey speaking to the camera. Reposts, audio-only posts, written posts, images, or videos that do not show Comey speaking to the camera will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be videos posted on James Comey’s official substack (https://substack.com/@jamescomey).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 27% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 27¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 27% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Apr 28, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?" ay 27% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 27% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.