Erdoğan’s current term extends through the scheduled May 2028 presidential and parliamentary elections, with no constitutional mechanism or scheduled vote that would remove him before the end of 2026. The ruling AKP-MHP alliance holds a parliamentary majority short of the three-fifths threshold needed to force an early election that could reset term limits, and officials have repeatedly signaled adherence to the 2028 timetable in economic planning and public statements. Recent opposition setbacks, including the September 2026 sentencing of Istanbul’s former mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu and ongoing legal pressures on the CHP, have further reduced immediate challenges to the incumbent. Erdoğan continues to exercise executive authority, address party gatherings, and advance policy priorities without signals of resignation or health-related withdrawal in the near term.