Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability for the August 18 FL-23 Democratic primary, driven by his commanding fundraising edge—$1.7 million in receipts and $1.2 million cash on hand through March 31, compared to challenger Oliver Larkin's $328,000 raised and $183,000 available—bolstering incumbency advantages like name recognition and donor networks in the D+2 district. Larkin's 37% reflects momentum from national Democratic Socialists of America endorsement on April 3 and Progressive Democrats of America backing on April 9, plus a March poll of likely Democratic voters showing him surging to a lead after balanced biographies highlighted Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance amid 63% district support for conditioning or cutting aid—a divide reinforced by Moskowitz's April 16 interview refusing such conditions. With filing deadline June 12, undecided turnout in the closed primary remains pivotal.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFL-23 Democratic Primary Winner
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner
$13,999 Vol.
$13,999 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Jared Moskowitz
58%
Oliver Adams Larkin
38%
$13,999 Vol.
$13,999 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Jared Moskowitz
$4,980 Vol.
58%
Oliver Adams Larkin
$9,019 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability for the August 18 FL-23 Democratic primary, driven by his commanding fundraising edge—$1.7 million in receipts and $1.2 million cash on hand through March 31, compared to challenger Oliver Larkin's $328,000 raised and $183,000 available—bolstering incumbency advantages like name recognition and donor networks in the D+2 district. Larkin's 37% reflects momentum from national Democratic Socialists of America endorsement on April 3 and Progressive Democrats of America backing on April 9, plus a March poll of likely Democratic voters showing him surging to a lead after balanced biographies highlighted Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance amid 63% district support for conditioning or cutting aid—a divide reinforced by Moskowitz's April 16 interview refusing such conditions. With filing deadline June 12, undecided turnout in the closed primary remains pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
Volume
$13,999Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability for the August 18 FL-23 Democratic primary, driven by his commanding fundraising edge—$1.7 million in receipts and $1.2 million cash on hand through March 31, compared to challenger Oliver Larkin's $328,000 raised and $183,000 available—bolstering incumbency advantages like name recognition and donor networks in the D+2 district. Larkin's 37% reflects momentum from national Democratic Socialists of America endorsement on April 3 and Progressive Democrats of America backing on April 9, plus a March poll of likely Democratic voters showing him surging to a lead after balanced biographies highlighted Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance amid 63% district support for conditioning or cutting aid—a divide reinforced by Moskowitz's April 16 interview refusing such conditions. With filing deadline June 12, undecided turnout in the closed primary remains pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$13,999Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability for the August 18 FL-23 Democratic primary, driven by his commanding fundraising edge—$1.7 million in receipts and $1.2 million cash on hand through March 31, compared to challenger Oliver Larkin's $328,000 raised and $183,000 available—bolstering incumbency advantages like name recognition and donor networks in the D+2 district. Larkin's 37% reflects momentum from national Democratic Socialists of America endorsement on April 3 and Progressive Democrats of America backing on April 9, plus a March poll of likely Democratic voters showing him surging to a lead after balanced biographies highlighted Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance amid 63% district support for conditioning or cutting aid—a divide reinforced by Moskowitz's April 16 interview refusing such conditions. With filing deadline June 12, undecided turnout in the closed primary remains pivotal.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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