Skip to main content
icon for AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner

icon for AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner

Jay Feely 4.5%

Travis Grantham 2.2%

Mark Lamb 0

Polymarket

$50,738 Vol.

Jay Feely 4.5%

Travis Grantham 2.2%

Mark Lamb 0

Polymarket

$50,738 Vol.

Jay Feely

$43,048 Vol.

4%

Travis Grantham

$1,834 Vol.

2%

Mark Lamb

$5,856 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb leads the July 21 Republican primary for Arizona’s open 5th Congressional District seat with trader consensus at 36.6 percent, ahead of Jay Feely and Travis Grantham. The former Pinal County sheriff entered the race in October 2025, quickly establishing a substantial polling advantage through name recognition and conservative positioning in the solidly Republican East Valley district vacated by Andy Biggs. Recent allegations of sexual impropriety leveled against Lamb in late May have introduced uncertainty, capping his implied probability below polling averages. Feely and Grantham, who filed early but later shifted focus or withdrew, retain minimal support in a race now narrowed primarily to Lamb and Daniel Keenan. Upcoming debates and further scrutiny of the allegations could still shift positioning before primary voters decide.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$50,738
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb leads the July 21 Republican primary for Arizona’s open 5th Congressional District seat with trader consensus at 36.6 percent, ahead of Jay Feely and Travis Grantham. The former Pinal County sheriff entered the race in October 2025, quickly establishing a substantial polling advantage through name recognition and conservative positioning in the solidly Republican East Valley district vacated by Andy Biggs. Recent allegations of sexual impropriety leveled against Lamb in late May have introduced uncertainty, capping his implied probability below polling averages. Feely and Grantham, who filed early but later shifted focus or withdrew, retain minimal support in a race now narrowed primarily to Lamb and Daniel Keenan. Upcoming debates and further scrutiny of the allegations could still shift positioning before primary voters decide.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$50,738
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Mark Lamb" sa 36%, sinusundan ng "Jay Feely" sa 4%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 36¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 36% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $50.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Mark Lamb" sa 36%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 36% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Jay Feely" sa 4%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.