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icon for Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?
Tech·Big Tech

Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?

icon for Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?
Tech·Big Tech

Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?

$6,194 Vol.

Apr 29, 2026
Polymarket

$6,194 Vol.

Polymarket

800M

$2,220 Vol.

No

900M

$350 Vol.

No

1B

$3,624 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”. The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Alphabet's Q1 2026 earnings, released April 29, omitted disclosure of the Gemini app's monthly active users—previously 750 million at Q4 2025 end—despite robust AI momentum, including 40% quarter-over-quarter growth in Gemini Enterprise paid monthly active users and first-party models processing 16 billion tokens per minute via API, up 60%. This absence heightens resolution uncertainty for markets tracking specific thresholds, as official materials define outcomes. Gemini continues gaining competitive positioning, with website traffic share rising to 25% from 6% year-over-year while ChatGPT slips to 57%, fueled by March 2026 updates like enhanced Gemini Live context retention and Personal Intelligence features. Traders eye potential supplemental filings ahead of Q2 reporting in July.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”.

The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$6,194
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 29, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”. The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”. The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Alphabet's Q1 2026 earnings, released April 29, omitted disclosure of the Gemini app's monthly active users—previously 750 million at Q4 2025 end—despite robust AI momentum, including 40% quarter-over-quarter growth in Gemini Enterprise paid monthly active users and first-party models processing 16 billion tokens per minute via API, up 60%. This absence heightens resolution uncertainty for markets tracking specific thresholds, as official materials define outcomes. Gemini continues gaining competitive positioning, with website traffic share rising to 25% from 6% year-over-year while ChatGPT slips to 57%, fueled by March 2026 updates like enhanced Gemini Live context retention and Personal Intelligence features. Traders eye potential supplemental filings ahead of Q2 reporting in July.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”.

The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$6,194
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 29, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”. The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "800M" sa 0%, sinusundan ng "900M" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 0¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 0% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Apr 23, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Isa itong wide-open market. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna para sa "Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?" ay "800M" sa 0% lang, na may "900M" na malapit sa likod sa 0%. Walang outcome na may malakas na mayorya, kaya nakikita ito ng mga trader bilang highly uncertain, na maaaring magbigay ng mga kakaibang trading opportunity. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time, kaya i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para panoorin kung paano nag-e-evolve ang probabilities.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.