Skip to main content
icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Teknolohiya·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Teknolohiya·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$12,338 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$12,338 Vol.

Polymarket

Tampa, FL

$1,314 Vol.

90%

Denver, CO

$154 Vol.

70%

Las Vegas, NV

$1,191 Vol.

68%

San Diego, CA

$400 Vol.

68%

Sacramento, CA

$220 Vol.

59%

Charlotte, NC

$75 Vol.

58%

St. Louis, MO

$0 Vol.

52%

Pittsburgh, PA

$88 Vol.

40%

Philadelphia, PA

$0 Vol.

45%

Detroit, MI

$0 Vol.

42%

London, UK

$49 Vol.

31%

Washington, DC

$1,016 Vol.

28%

Minneapolis, MN

$1,471 Vol.

23%

Baltimore, MD

$407 Vol.

18%

Portland, OR

$2,226 Vol.

16%

Boston, MA

$2,818 Vol.

7%

New Orleans, LA

$61 Vol.

50%

New York, NY

$239 Vol.

49%

Chicago, IL

$570 Vol.

42%

Tokyo, Japan

$20 Vol.

46%

Seattle, WA

$20 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s accelerated 2026 rollout of fully autonomous robotaxi service across new U.S. markets is the main driver of trader sentiment on which cities reach commercial launch by year-end. After raising substantial capital and shifting to driverless operations in San Diego, Las Vegas, Tampa, and Denver this summer, the company now operates or has active testing in roughly a dozen metros, including recent public access in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando. Announced targets for the remainder of the year include Nashville, Seattle, Washington D.C., plus international entries in London and Tokyo, supported by an expanded fleet of Jaguar and Zeekr vehicles. Traders weigh regulatory approvals, vehicle supply constraints, and competition from Tesla’s robotaxi timeline against Waymo’s proven safety data and state-by-state permitting progress, with outcomes hinging on near-term certification filings and deployment cadence.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,338
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s accelerated 2026 rollout of fully autonomous robotaxi service across new U.S. markets is the main driver of trader sentiment on which cities reach commercial launch by year-end. After raising substantial capital and shifting to driverless operations in San Diego, Las Vegas, Tampa, and Denver this summer, the company now operates or has active testing in roughly a dozen metros, including recent public access in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando. Announced targets for the remainder of the year include Nashville, Seattle, Washington D.C., plus international entries in London and Tokyo, supported by an expanded fleet of Jaguar and Zeekr vehicles. Traders weigh regulatory approvals, vehicle supply constraints, and competition from Tesla’s robotaxi timeline against Waymo’s proven safety data and state-by-state permitting progress, with outcomes hinging on near-term certification filings and deployment cadence.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,338
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kaugnay

icon for Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?

Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?

28%
icon for Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

16%
icon for Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

8%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 21 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Tampa, FL" sa 90%, sinusundan ng "Denver, CO" sa 70%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 90¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 90% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" ay naka-generate ng $12.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jun 26, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?," i-browse ang 21 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" ay "Tampa, FL" sa 90%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 90% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Denver, CO" sa 70%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.