Recent short-range weather model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles points to clear skies, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover over Ankara on September 11, supporting a daytime maximum near 30–31 °C. This aligns with the market-implied 65 % probability on 31 °C and 26 % on 30 °C, reflecting trader assessment of stable high-pressure conditions and above-average September warmth (climatological high ~27 °C). No significant frontal systems or moisture intrusions are forecast in the next 24–48 hours to alter the thermal profile. The final official maximum recorded at central Ankara stations will resolve the market, with the last model updates and observational data releases expected overnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Ankara on September 11?
31°C 70%
30°C 19%
32°C 12%
29°C 3%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
19%
31°C
70%
32°C
12%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 70%
30°C 19%
32°C 12%
29°C 3%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
19%
31°C
70%
32°C
12%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range weather model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles points to clear skies, light northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover over Ankara on September 11, supporting a daytime maximum near 30–31 °C. This aligns with the market-implied 65 % probability on 31 °C and 26 % on 30 °C, reflecting trader assessment of stable high-pressure conditions and above-average September warmth (climatological high ~27 °C). No significant frontal systems or moisture intrusions are forecast in the next 24–48 hours to alter the thermal profile. The final official maximum recorded at central Ankara stations will resolve the market, with the last model updates and observational data releases expected overnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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