Forecast models and observational data for July 31 indicate a daily maximum near 33°C in Guangzhou under overcast skies with moderate rain and high humidity, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. July climatology places typical highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with urban heat island effects and regional steering patterns often capping peaks around this level when cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating. Recent model runs show consistency in this range, with minimal disagreement among major ensembles. A shift toward clearer conditions or altered wind patterns could allow readings above 34°C, while heavier rainfall or measurement rounding at official stations might produce a lower recorded maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Guangzhou on July 31?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$116,977 Vol.
$116,977 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$116,977 Vol.
$116,977 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Forecast models and observational data for July 31 indicate a daily maximum near 33°C in Guangzhou under overcast skies with moderate rain and high humidity, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. July climatology places typical highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with urban heat island effects and regional steering patterns often capping peaks around this level when cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating. Recent model runs show consistency in this range, with minimal disagreement among major ensembles. A shift toward clearer conditions or altered wind patterns could allow readings above 34°C, while heavier rainfall or measurement rounding at official stations might produce a lower recorded maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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