Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 22 indicate a maximum of 27–32°C under a strengthening northeast monsoon and upper-level disturbances, with mainly cloudy skies, isolated showers, and limited sunshine. This setup supports the market's tight clustering around 31–32°C (combined 64.5% implied probability), as modest cooling from easterly flow competes with residual warmth and variable cloud cover that can swing daytime peaks by 1–2°C. Ensemble models show limited spread but diverge on shower timing and solar heating potential, while historical September baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the uncertainty. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations tomorrow will refine resolution around official maximum readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
32°C 36%
31°C 32%
30°C 16%
33°C 15%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
32%
32°C
36%
33°C
15%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 32%
30°C 16%
33°C 15%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
$272 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$715 Vol.
1%
29°C
$804 Vol.
4%
30°C
$541 Vol.
16%
31°C
$480 Vol.
32%
32°C
$1,557 Vol.
36%
33°C
$1,438 Vol.
15%
34°C
$1,932 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$385 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 22 indicate a maximum of 27–32°C under a strengthening northeast monsoon and upper-level disturbances, with mainly cloudy skies, isolated showers, and limited sunshine. This setup supports the market's tight clustering around 31–32°C (combined 64.5% implied probability), as modest cooling from easterly flow competes with residual warmth and variable cloud cover that can swing daytime peaks by 1–2°C. Ensemble models show limited spread but diverge on shower timing and solar heating potential, while historical September baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the uncertainty. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations tomorrow will refine resolution around official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,425Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 22 indicate a maximum of 27–32°C under a strengthening northeast monsoon and upper-level disturbances, with mainly cloudy skies, isolated showers, and limited sunshine. This setup supports the market's tight clustering around 31–32°C (combined 64.5% implied probability), as modest cooling from easterly flow competes with residual warmth and variable cloud cover that can swing daytime peaks by 1–2°C. Ensemble models show limited spread but diverge on shower timing and solar heating potential, while historical September baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the uncertainty. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations tomorrow will refine resolution around official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,425Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 22 indicate a maximum of 27–32°C under a strengthening northeast monsoon and upper-level disturbances, with mainly cloudy skies, isolated showers, and limited sunshine. This setup supports the market's tight clustering around 31–32°C (combined 64.5% implied probability), as modest cooling from easterly flow competes with residual warmth and variable cloud cover that can swing daytime peaks by 1–2°C. Ensemble models show limited spread but diverge on shower timing and solar heating potential, while historical September baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the uncertainty. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations tomorrow will refine resolution around official maximum readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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