Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 25–29°C for September 4, shaped by Tropical Cyclone Shadell lingering nearby and reinforcing northwesterly monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to suppress afternoon heating, while variable rain timing and intensity create the narrow spread between 28°C and 29°C outcomes that dominate trader probabilities. Model consensus highlights modest diurnal temperature ranges under humid, overcast conditions typical of early-September climatology, with any brief clearing potentially allowing a brief spike toward 30°C. Upcoming model runs and local observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
29°C 31%
28°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 11%
BAGO
$12,777 Vol.
BAGO
$12,777 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
11%
28°C
30%
29°C
31%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 31%
28°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 11%
BAGO
$12,777 Vol.
BAGO
$12,777 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
$10,597 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
1%
25°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$270 Vol.
7%
27°C
$524 Vol.
11%
28°C
$390 Vol.
30%
29°C
$217 Vol.
31%
30°C
$212 Vol.
15%
31°C
$68 Vol.
5%
32°C
$144 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$201 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 25–29°C for September 4, shaped by Tropical Cyclone Shadell lingering nearby and reinforcing northwesterly monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to suppress afternoon heating, while variable rain timing and intensity create the narrow spread between 28°C and 29°C outcomes that dominate trader probabilities. Model consensus highlights modest diurnal temperature ranges under humid, overcast conditions typical of early-September climatology, with any brief clearing potentially allowing a brief spike toward 30°C. Upcoming model runs and local observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,777Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 25–29°C for September 4, shaped by Tropical Cyclone Shadell lingering nearby and reinforcing northwesterly monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to suppress afternoon heating, while variable rain timing and intensity create the narrow spread between 28°C and 29°C outcomes that dominate trader probabilities. Model consensus highlights modest diurnal temperature ranges under humid, overcast conditions typical of early-September climatology, with any brief clearing potentially allowing a brief spike toward 30°C. Upcoming model runs and local observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,777Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 25–29°C for September 4, shaped by Tropical Cyclone Shadell lingering nearby and reinforcing northwesterly monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to suppress afternoon heating, while variable rain timing and intensity create the narrow spread between 28°C and 29°C outcomes that dominate trader probabilities. Model consensus highlights modest diurnal temperature ranges under humid, overcast conditions typical of early-September climatology, with any brief clearing potentially allowing a brief spike toward 30°C. Upcoming model runs and local observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong