Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Karachi on May 2?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 2?
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,150 Vol.
$30,150 Vol.
May 2, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
Yes
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,150 Vol.
$30,150 Vol.
May 2, 2026
29°C or below
$2,007 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,063 Vol.
No
31°C
$617 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,695 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,375 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,937 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,515 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,494 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,377 Vol.
No
38°C
$5,011 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$5,058 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volume
$30,150Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,150Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 2, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong