Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and DWD guidance, place Munich’s July 6 maximum in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid a warm but not extreme synoptic pattern over central Europe. Surface high pressure and modest warm-air advection support afternoon readings near 26–27 °C, yet increasing low-level moisture and light westerly flow introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and possible brief showers that could cap the peak. Historical July climatology centers on 24–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on the timing of any diurnal heating versus convective cooling. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 25–27 °C brackets, reflecting the narrow but still unresolved spread in ensemble guidance ahead of the next high-resolution updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on July 6?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$137,106 Vol.
$137,106 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$137,106 Vol.
$137,106 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and DWD guidance, place Munich’s July 6 maximum in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid a warm but not extreme synoptic pattern over central Europe. Surface high pressure and modest warm-air advection support afternoon readings near 26–27 °C, yet increasing low-level moisture and light westerly flow introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and possible brief showers that could cap the peak. Historical July climatology centers on 24–25 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on the timing of any diurnal heating versus convective cooling. Traders therefore cluster probabilities around the 25–27 °C brackets, reflecting the narrow but still unresolved spread in ensemble guidance ahead of the next high-resolution updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong